TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117119911911119
Dalimil Machander
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Dalimil Machander below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 58.7%
98 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 1–0 Dalimil Machander Dalimil Machander has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1562 vs Machander 1519
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 20% vs Machander 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Machander 20%
Heczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Machander -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.61 / Machander 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Heczko)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159423
Heczko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 58 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Machander2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 60 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back33% 25 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back17% 8 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHeczko1wins
AwayMachander0wins
Heczko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHeczkoMachanderH − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 599 vs 169 / 36848.1%45.9%288 / 599 vs 169 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.61/Machander 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 30 · 11:30M. Heczko331111113D. Machander227780
M. Heczko10
WSep 20 · 09:30M. Heczko1.521111103A. Rinka2.359760LSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113WSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113LSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661LSep 16 · 12:00M. Heczko3.40116581S. Kysely1.3061111113LSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko1.6711811113A. Rinka2.10611571
D. Machander10
LSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123WSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640LSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950LSep 18 · 18:00D. Machander1.918980D. Oborny1.801111113LSep 15 · 17:00D. Machander1.859101191A. Walek1.8511124113LSep 15 · 16:00F. Laburda1.61811114113D. Machander2.2011961192LSep 15 · 15:00L. Martinak1.73111110113D. Machander2.00851261
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