TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117116––––
Alfred Rinka
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Alfred Rinka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-6
Point 54 set 3, 10-6
54 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Marcel Heczko 7–3 Alfred Rinka Alfred Rinka has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Heczko beat Rinka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.52 / Rinka 2.35
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Heczko)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13163688
Heczko1.52
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 58 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Rinka2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 15 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko7wins
AwayRinka3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko75%6 of 8
AwayRinkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko8Rinka2n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S2Heczko7Rinka3n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S3Heczko9Rinka1n = 10Heczko took 9 of 10
S4Heczko2Rinka3n = 5Rinka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoRinkaH − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.030.4+7.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoRinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 600 vs 36 / 7248.2%50%289 / 600 vs 36 / 72Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.52/Rinka 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 06:00M. Heczko331111113A. Rinka209650
WSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko4111811113A. Rinka29611571
WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko381113143A. Rinka29611120
LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko36117991A. Rinka4071111113
WSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko4071111113A. Rinka31119471
WAug 30 · 16:30M. Heczko331111113A. Rinka141760
WAug 30 · 13:30M. Heczko331111113A. Rinka215880
LAug 30 · 12:30M. Heczko4471111692A. Rinka49119711113
WAug 22 · 08:30M. Heczko331111113A. Rinka186930
LAug 14 · 08:30M. Heczko49117121092A. Rinka539111012113
M. Heczko10
WSep 20 · 08:30M. Heczko1.61111199113D. Machander2.2079111192LSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113WSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113LSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661LSep 16 · 12:00M. Heczko3.40116581S. Kysely1.3061111113LSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko1.6711811113A. Rinka2.10611571
A. Rinka10
WSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123LSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113WSep 15 · 12:58A. Rinka1.6711115113J. Levicky2.10741151WSep 15 · 12:00A. Rinka1.73115911113J. Levicky2.0061111772LSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko1.6711811113A. Rinka2.10611571LSep 15 · 10:00A. Rinka1.73145771J. Schwan2.00121111113WSep 13 · 09:29A. Rinka1.5011116113O. Hradil2.50581161WSep 13 · 08:30M. Blejchar2.2011941282A. Rinka1.619111110113WSep 13 · 07:30A. Rinka1.801111113P. Chovanec1.918360
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