TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120671
Played Sep 13Finished
Alfred Rinka
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118113116––––
Pavel Chovanec
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Chovanec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlfred Rinka above · Pavel Chovanec below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Pavel Chovanec at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Alfred Rinka 1–0 Pavel Chovanec Pavel Chovanec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rinka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rinka 1608 vs Chovanec 1497
Rinka
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinka 40% vs Chovanec 80%
Chovanec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinka 70% vs Chovanec 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinka +1 · Chovanec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rinka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chovanec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinka 1.80 / Chovanec 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rinka)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120671
Rinka1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 11 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Chovanec1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 8 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRinka1wins
AwayChovanec0wins
Rinka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRinkaChovanecR − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.017.0+16.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRinkaChovanecBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 63 vs 20 / 4647.6%43.5%30 / 63 vs 20 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RinkaRinka 1.80/Chovanec 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 13 · 07:30A. Rinka331111113P. Chovanec178360
A. Rinka10
WSep 13 · 06:30O. Hradil2.3811147872A. Rinka1.533121111113LSep 7 · 08:58J. Levicky2.00913137113A. Rinka1.731111111182LSep 7 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61971141J. Levicky2.2011119113LSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230WSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582WSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113WSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660
P. Chovanec10
WSep 13 · 06:00P. Chovanec1.6171211113M. Blejchar2.201110741WSep 7 · 13:30O. Hradil1.8311117592P. Chovanec1.83951111113LSep 7 · 12:00O. Hradil2.0014112123P. Chovanec1.7312511101WSep 7 · 11:00P. Osvald2.201188101P. Chovanec1.6191111123WSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LJun 18 · 17:30J. Levicky1.7311212113P. Chovanec2.006111061WJun 18 · 16:00P. Danko1.831167111P. Chovanec1.8391111133LJun 18 · 15:00J. Levicky2.251111113P. Chovanec1.574860WJun 18 · 14:30P. Chovanec2.501411113V. Zidek1.5012780WJun 11 · 17:00P. Chovanec1.401111113D. Oborny2.757380
Upcoming Matches
A. Rinka
P. Chovanec
Nothing scheduled
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