TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119778
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavel Chovanec
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210117114––
Marek Blejchar
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:23 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Chovanec above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 55.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Chovanec 2–0 Marek Blejchar Marek Blejchar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chovanec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chovanec 1507 vs Blejchar 1573
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chovanec 60% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chovanec 60% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chovanec +1 · Blejchar +3
Blejchar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Chovanec) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChovanec 1.61 / Blejchar 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Chovanec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119778
Chovanec1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite44% won 7 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Blejchar2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChovanec2wins
AwayBlejchar0wins
Chovanec leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChovanecBlejcharC − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.023.5+13.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChovanecBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 45 vs 315 / 65244.4%48.3%20 / 45 vs 315 / 652Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChovanecChovanec 1.61/Blejchar 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Chovanec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chovanec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 13 · 06:00P. Chovanec4171211113M. Blejchar321110741
WSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec331111113M. Blejchar159330
P. Chovanec10
WSep 7 · 13:30O. Hradil1.8311117592P. Chovanec1.83951111113LSep 7 · 12:00O. Hradil2.0014112123P. Chovanec1.7312511101WSep 7 · 11:00P. Osvald2.201188101P. Chovanec1.6191111123WSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LJun 18 · 17:30J. Levicky1.7311212113P. Chovanec2.006111061WJun 18 · 16:00P. Danko1.831167111P. Chovanec1.8391111133LJun 18 · 15:00J. Levicky2.251111113P. Chovanec1.574860WJun 18 · 14:30P. Chovanec2.501411113V. Zidek1.5012780WJun 11 · 17:00P. Chovanec1.401111113D. Oborny2.757380LJun 11 · 16:00S. Kysely1.8015124113P. Chovanec1.9113101191
M. Blejchar10
WSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480WSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741WSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113LSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182WSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350LSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330
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