TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135628
Played Sep 16Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116611511811––
Stepan Kysely
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeStepan Kysely to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Stepan Kysely below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Stepan Kysely at 73.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 0–8 Stepan Kysely Marcel Heczko has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kysely
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Kysely
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1569 vs Kysely 1595
Kysely
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Kysely 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 50% vs Kysely 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Kysely +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kysely)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kysely form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 3.40 / Kysely 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Kysely)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135628
Heczko3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 64 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Kysely1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHeczko0wins
AwayKysely8wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKysely leads 8–0, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko0%0 of 3
AwayKysely100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko3Kysely5n = 8Kysely took 5 of 8
S2Heczko3Kysely5n = 8Kysely took 5 of 8
S3Heczko1Kysely7n = 8Kysely took 7 of 8
S4Heczko0Kysely4n = 4Kysely took 4 of 4
S5Heczko0Kysely3n = 3Kysely took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricHeczkoKyselyH − KBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match32.439.1−6.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoKyselyBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 606 vs 78 / 14148%55.3%291 / 606 vs 78 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyselyHeczko 3.40/Kysely 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Kysely · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kysely won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJun 16 · 21:30M. Heczko238870S. Kysely331111113
LJun 16 · 20:30M. Heczko377111271S. Kysely4311714113
LJun 16 · 15:30M. Heczko23310100S. Kysely351112123
LJun 15 · 07:30M. Heczko229580S. Kysely331111113
LJun 11 · 17:30M. Heczko42111155102S. Kysely43631111123
LJun 11 · 14:00M. Heczko229490S. Kysely331111113
LOct 16 · 21:30M. Heczko4611118792S. Kysely49791111113
LOct 16 · 19:30M. Heczko4411911672S. Kysely44311811113
M. Heczko10
LSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko1.6711811113A. Rinka2.10611571WSep 15 · 10:30J. Levicky1.8061211562M. Heczko1.911110611113WSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452LSep 15 · 08:30M. Heczko2.1011135552R. Vavrecka1.676111111113WSep 15 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0011128113S. Byrtus1.738101191LSep 15 · 06:00J. Schwan1.401111113M. Heczko2.759550
S. Kysely10
WSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113LSep 16 · 10:30S. Kysely2.201199101J. Schwan1.6161111123LSep 16 · 08:59S. Kysely1.57111110662P. Danko2.25791211113WSep 16 · 08:30P. Danko1.73101520S. Kysely2.001217113LSep 16 · 07:30S. Kysely1.91119991R. Skacelik1.8031111113WSep 16 · 06:30J. Levicky1.9171111682S. Kysely1.80118511113LSep 9 · 13:00S. Kysely1.619119111R. Skacelik2.2011511133LSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113LSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113
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