TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139492
Played Sep 16Finished
Stepan Kysely
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171191012611611
Petr Danko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingStepan Kysely above · Petr Danko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11
94 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kysely 2–2 Petr Danko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kysely beat Danko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kysely)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kysely form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKysely 1.57 / Danko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kysely)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139492
Kysely1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Danko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 23 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back32% 11 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKysely2wins
AwayDanko2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKysely50%2 of 4
AwayDankon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kysely4Danko0n = 4Kysely took 4 of 4
S2Kysely2Danko2n = 4split evenly
S3Kysely1Danko3n = 4Danko took 3 of 4
S4Kysely1Danko2n = 3Danko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKyselyDankoK − DBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match43.238.8+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyselyDankoBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 138 vs 109 / 21655.8%50.5%77 / 138 vs 109 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyselyKysely 1.57/Danko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Kysely · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Danko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 16 · 08:30S. Kysely401217113P. Danko27101520
LJun 16 · 17:30S. Kysely3911108101P. Danko3831211123
LJun 16 · 16:00S. Kysely4211117762P. Danko45751111113
WOct 16 · 18:00S. Kysely52147812113P. Danko451211111012
S. Kysely10
WSep 16 · 08:30P. Danko1.73101520S. Kysely2.001217113LSep 16 · 07:30S. Kysely1.91119991R. Skacelik1.8031111113WSep 16 · 06:30J. Levicky1.9171111682S. Kysely1.80118511113LSep 9 · 13:00S. Kysely1.619119111R. Skacelik2.2011511133LSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113LSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171WJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591
P. Danko10
LSep 16 · 08:30P. Danko1.73101520S. Kysely2.001217113LSep 16 · 07:00P. Danko1.4091060J. Levicky2.751112113LSep 16 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.831111143P. Danko1.8358120WSep 8 · 09:29P. Danko1.3681111113J. Levicky3.00119691WSep 8 · 08:00P. Danko1.4011711113J. Levicky2.75711891WSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113WSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192WSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:30A. Rinka1.9111119472P. Danko1.80281111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Kysely
P. Danko
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