TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Alfred Rinka
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611511––––
Marcel Heczko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlfred Rinka above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 56.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Alfred Rinka 3–6 Marcel Heczko Alfred Rinka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 13:02What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Heczko
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rinka 1601 vs Heczko 1559
Rinka
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinka 60% vs Heczko 20%
Rinka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinka 60% vs Heczko 40%
Rinka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinka +2 · Heczko -3
Heczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinka 2.20 / Heczko 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Rinka)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159401
Rinka2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 15)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 15 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Heczko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 58 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeRinka3wins
AwayHeczko6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHeczko leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRinkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHeczko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rinka2Heczko7n = 9Heczko took 7 of 9
S2Rinka3Heczko6n = 9Heczko took 6 of 9
S3Rinka1Heczko8n = 9Heczko took 8 of 9
S4Rinka3Heczko2n = 5Rinka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricRinkaHeczkoR − HBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match31.638.6−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRinkaHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 69 vs 291 / 60849.3%47.9%34 / 69 vs 291 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RinkaRinka 2.20/Heczko 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 15 · 11:30A. Rinka29611571M. Heczko4111811113
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Rinka29611120M. Heczko381113143
WSep 4 · 06:00A. Rinka4071111113M. Heczko36117991
LSep 3 · 10:30A. Rinka31119471M. Heczko4071111113
LAug 30 · 16:30A. Rinka141760M. Heczko331111113
LAug 30 · 13:30A. Rinka215880M. Heczko331111113
WAug 30 · 12:30A. Rinka49119711113M. Heczko4471111692
LAug 22 · 08:30A. Rinka186930M. Heczko331111113
WAug 14 · 08:30A. Rinka539111012113M. Heczko49117121092
A. Rinka10
WSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123WSep 15 · 12:58A. Rinka1.6711115113J. Levicky2.10741151WSep 15 · 12:00A. Rinka1.73115911113J. Levicky2.0061111772LSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko1.6711811113A. Rinka2.10611571LSep 15 · 10:00A. Rinka1.73145771J. Schwan2.00121111113WSep 13 · 09:29A. Rinka1.5011116113O. Hradil2.50581161WSep 13 · 08:30M. Blejchar2.2011941282A. Rinka1.619111110113WSep 13 · 07:30A. Rinka1.801111113P. Chovanec1.918360WSep 13 · 06:30O. Hradil2.3811147872A. Rinka1.533121111113LSep 7 · 08:58J. Levicky2.00913137113A. Rinka1.731111111182
M. Heczko10
LSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113LSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661LSep 16 · 12:00M. Heczko3.40116581S. Kysely1.3061111113LSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko1.6711811113A. Rinka2.10611571WSep 15 · 10:30J. Levicky1.8061211562M. Heczko1.911110611113WSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452
Upcoming Matches
A. Rinka
Nothing scheduled
M. Heczko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.