TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120467
Played Sep 13Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199114111210811
Alfred Rinka
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAlfred Rinka to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Alfred Rinka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Alfred Rinka at 57.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 0–1 Alfred Rinka Marek Blejchar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:22What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rinka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1557 vs Rinka 1608
Rinka
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 60% vs Rinka 40%
Blejchar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 60% vs Rinka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar -2 · Rinka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rinka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 2.20 / Rinka 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Rinka)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120467
Blejchar2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Rinka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 11 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBlejchar0wins
AwayRinka1wins
Rinka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBlejcharRinkaB − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match27.039.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharRinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 653 vs 30 / 6348.2%47.6%315 / 653 vs 30 / 63Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RinkaBlejchar 2.20/Rinka 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Rinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 18 · 11:30M. Blejchar2751570A. Rinka391117113
M. Blejchar10
WSep 13 · 09:08P. Chovanec2.105410M. Blejchar1.661111113LSep 13 · 07:00M. Blejchar1.80611961O. Hradil1.9111811113LSep 13 · 06:00P. Chovanec1.6171211113M. Blejchar2.201110741WSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480WSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741WSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113LSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113
A. Rinka10
WSep 13 · 09:29A. Rinka1.5011116113O. Hradil2.50581161WSep 13 · 07:30A. Rinka1.801111113P. Chovanec1.918360WSep 13 · 06:30O. Hradil2.3811147872A. Rinka1.533121111113LSep 7 · 08:58J. Levicky2.00913137113A. Rinka1.731111111182LSep 7 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61971141J. Levicky2.2011119113LSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230WSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582
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