TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalimil Machander vs Samuel Byrtus 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811116118611119
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9
92 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 9–11 Samuel Byrtus Dalimil Machander has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Machander beat Byrtus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 2.10 / Byrtus 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Byrtus)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176680
Machander2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog42% won 61 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back32% 26 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back18% 9 of 49
Byrtus1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 84 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachander4wins
AwayByrtus6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachander66.7%4 of 6
AwayByrtus100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander6Byrtus4n = 10Machander took 6 of 10
S2Machander5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S3Machander3Byrtus7n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10
S4Machander6Byrtus3n = 9Machander took 6 of 9
S5Machander1Byrtus4n = 5Byrtus took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachanderByrtusM − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.841.3−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 373 vs 295 / 56845.6%51.9%170 / 373 vs 295 / 568Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusMachander 2.10/Byrtus 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.4%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 07:30D. Machander46115811113S. Byrtus4571111972
LSep 14 · 14:00D. Machander3961111742S. Byrtus48116911113
WSep 12 · 16:00D. Machander4011611123S. Byrtus368117101
WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander4211119113S. Byrtus27591121
LAug 30 · 21:29D. Machander45114911102S. Byrtus47611117123
LAug 30 · 18:00D. Machander248970S. Byrtus331111113
LAug 28 · 14:00D. Machander30711571S. Byrtus4011711113
LAug 19 · 08:30D. Machander4911169762S. Byrtus558141111113
WJul 31 · 16:59D. Machander4112711113S. Byrtus361011871
LJul 31 · 15:30D. Machander4261361162S. Byrtus461111112113
D. Machander10
LSep 22 · 08:30A. Rinka1.501211113D. Machander2.5010940WSep 22 · 07:30D. Machander2.20115811113S. Byrtus1.6171111972LSep 22 · 06:30P. Danko1.571111113D. Machander2.256890LSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:30M. Heczko1.61111199113D. Machander2.2079111192LSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123WSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640LSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950
S. Byrtus10
LSep 22 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.3311941282P. Danko3.253111110113LSep 22 · 07:30D. Machander2.20115811113S. Byrtus1.6171111972LSep 22 · 06:00S. Byrtus1.73117531A. Rinka2.0051111113LSep 19 · 09:00D. Langer1.6711611113S. Byrtus2.10811771LSep 19 · 08:30A. Walek2.0011114113S. Byrtus1.73981141WSep 19 · 07:30S. Byrtus2.631112133J. Simecek1.44810110LSep 19 · 06:30D. Langer1.8381111173S. Byrtus1.831179151WSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky1.91413491S. Byrtus1.80111111113LSep 18 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.8341110101J. Levicky1.8311812123WSep 18 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.9111711143D. Heczko1.806118121
Upcoming Matches
D. Machander
S. Byrtus
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