TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145438
Played Sep 18Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1167111181412––
David Heczko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 80 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 24–28 David Heczko Samuel Byrtus has won 24 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:22What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-28 in 52
Heczko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1601 vs Heczko 1547
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 60% vs Heczko 20%
Byrtus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 60% vs Heczko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus +1 · Heczko -4
Heczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 1.91 / Heczko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Byrtus)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145438
Byrtus1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 70 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Heczko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 95 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it73% 66 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeByrtus3wins
AwayHeczko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeByrtus60%3 of 5
AwayHeczko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Byrtus5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S2Byrtus4Heczko6n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S3Byrtus2Heczko8n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S4Byrtus3Heczko4n = 7Heczko took 4 of 7
S5Byrtus2Heczko3n = 5Heczko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricByrtusHeczkoB − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.442.4−3.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 579 vs 265 / 48652%54.5%301 / 579 vs 265 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusByrtus 1.91/Heczko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 07:00S. Byrtus4311711143D. Heczko376118121
LSep 12 · 17:30S. Byrtus4711881192D. Heczko42611113113
WSep 12 · 14:00S. Byrtus531112811113D. Heczko4771411872
LSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus217680D. Heczko331111113
LSep 11 · 19:00S. Byrtus401013981D. Heczko45121111113
LSep 2 · 16:59S. Byrtus4281111572D. Heczko48118711113
LSep 2 · 16:00S. Byrtus2310850D. Heczko341211113
LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus33814110D. Heczko401116133
WAug 27 · 09:30S. Byrtus47111164153D. Heczko49861111132
LAug 27 · 08:00S. Byrtus45111161072D. Heczko49961112113
S. Byrtus10
WSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.5312711892S. Byrtus2.381011211113LSep 15 · 09:30J. Schwan1.731111113S. Byrtus2.006830WSep 15 · 08:00J. Schwan1.57111391192S. Byrtus2.25615113113LSep 15 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0011128113S. Byrtus1.738101191WSep 15 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.501111113R. Vavrecka2.504980WSep 14 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.4987111172S. Byrtus2.40111185113WSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172LSep 14 · 15:00S. Byrtus2.63891141R. Skacelik1.4411116113WSep 14 · 14:00D. Machander2.1061111742S. Byrtus1.67116911113LSep 12 · 17:30D. Heczko1.80611113113S. Byrtus1.9111881192
D. Heczko10
LSep 18 · 06:30D. Heczko2.10112981J. Levicky1.6761111113LSep 12 · 21:06D. Heczko2.20811761D. Langer1.6111811113LSep 12 · 20:30R. Skacelik1.671291111113D. Heczko2.10101131392LSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133WSep 12 · 18:30D. Machander1.8396111192D. Heczko1.83111154113WSep 12 · 17:30D. Heczko1.80611113113S. Byrtus1.9111881192WSep 12 · 16:30D. Heczko1.674111111113A. Walek2.1011134272WSep 12 · 15:00D. Heczko1.8311111113113D. Machander1.83131381132LSep 12 · 14:00S. Byrtus2.001112811113D. Heczko1.7371411872WSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113
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