TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121955
Played Sep 12Finished
David Heczko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118711611––
Daniel Langer
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11
73 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 2–6 Daniel Langer David Heczko has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Langer beat Heczko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Langer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.20 / Langer 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Langer)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121955
Heczko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 58 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back26% 15 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Langer1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 88 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it98% 55 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHeczko2wins
AwayLanger6wins
5 of 8 to a deciderLanger leads 6–2, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLanger83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko2Langer6n = 8Langer took 6 of 8
S2Heczko3Langer5n = 8Langer took 5 of 8
S3Heczko4Langer4n = 8split evenly
S4Heczko2Langer4n = 6Langer took 4 of 6
S5Heczko2Langer3n = 5Langer took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricHeczkoLangerH − LBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match37.444.2−6.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 483 vs 106 / 15854.9%67.1%265 / 483 vs 106 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerHeczko 2.20/Langer 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko399118111D. Langer4111611133
LSep 11 · 18:00D. Heczko4657171162D. Langer571111159113
LSep 8 · 17:08D. Heczko168350D. Langer331111113
LSep 8 · 16:30D. Heczko4211611682D. Langer48711811113
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko137240D. Langer331111113
WSep 5 · 11:00D. Heczko541411711113D. Langer4716911562
LSep 2 · 15:30D. Heczko4281111482D. Langer49117911113
WAug 31 · 07:00D. Heczko47118115123D. Langer46811611102
D. Heczko10
LSep 12 · 20:30R. Skacelik1.671291111113D. Heczko2.10101131392LSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133WSep 12 · 18:30D. Machander1.8396111192D. Heczko1.83111154113WSep 12 · 17:30D. Heczko1.80611113113S. Byrtus1.9111881192WSep 12 · 16:30D. Heczko1.674111111113A. Walek2.1011134272WSep 12 · 15:00D. Heczko1.8311111113113D. Machander1.83131381132LSep 12 · 14:00S. Byrtus2.001112811113D. Heczko1.7371411872WSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113LSep 11 · 20:30D. Heczko2.1071070J. Schwan1.671112113WSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981
D. Langer10
LSep 12 · 20:00D. Langer1.57114761D. Machander2.2581111113WSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133LSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113WSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182LSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113WSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162WSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350WSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682LSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153
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