TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13152726
Played Sep 19Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111171191715––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 17-15
Point 89 set 4, 17-15 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 3–3 Samuel Byrtus Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:03What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Byrtus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1658 vs Byrtus 1641
Langer
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Byrtus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 70% vs Byrtus 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +1 · Byrtus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.83 / Byrtus 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Langer)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13152726
Langer1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Byrtus1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLanger3wins
AwayByrtus3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger50%2 of 4
AwayByrtusn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer4Byrtus2n = 6Langer took 4 of 6
S2Langer2Byrtus4n = 6Byrtus took 4 of 6
S3Langer3Byrtus3n = 6split evenly
S4Langer3Byrtus1n = 4Langer took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLangerByrtusL − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match35.735.0+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 161 vs 304 / 58367.1%52.1%108 / 161 vs 304 / 583Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.83/Byrtus 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 19 · 06:30D. Langer4781111173S. Byrtus421179151
LSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer41116101132S. Byrtus49711128113
WSep 2 · 14:30D. Langer4211911113S. Byrtus25211661
LAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer214980S. Byrtus331111113
LAug 31 · 06:00D. Langer30128281S. Byrtus43101111113
WAug 26 · 10:30D. Langer331111113S. Byrtus184770
D. Langer10
LSep 19 · 08:00J. Simecek1.61141256113D. Langer2.201210111142LSep 19 · 07:00A. Walek2.0061111113D. Langer1.73117981WSep 12 · 21:06D. Heczko2.20811761D. Langer1.6111811113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Langer1.57114761D. Machander2.2581111113WSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133LSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113WSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182LSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113WSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162
S. Byrtus10
WSep 19 · 07:30S. Byrtus2.631112133J. Simecek1.44810110WSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky1.91413491S. Byrtus1.80111111113LSep 18 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.8341110101J. Levicky1.8311812123WSep 18 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.9111711143D. Heczko1.806118121WSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.5312711892S. Byrtus2.381011211113LSep 15 · 09:30J. Schwan1.731111113S. Byrtus2.006830WSep 15 · 08:00J. Schwan1.57111391192S. Byrtus2.25615113113LSep 15 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0011128113S. Byrtus1.738101191WSep 15 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.501111113R. Vavrecka2.504980WSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113
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