TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Samuel Byrtus vs Petr Danko 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1139114111210811
Petr Danko
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Petr Danko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 74.4%
90 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 9–3 Petr Danko Petr Danko has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Byrtus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Byrtus
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1604 vs Danko 1602
Byrtus
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 20% vs Danko 40%
Danko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 40% vs Danko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus -3 · Danko -1
Byrtus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 1.33 / Danko 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Byrtus)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169915
Byrtus1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 84 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Danko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 22 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back33% 10 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeByrtus8wins
AwayDanko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeByrtus85.7%6 of 7
AwayDanko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Byrtus7Danko3n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10
S2Byrtus8Danko2n = 10Byrtus took 8 of 10
S3Byrtus8Danko2n = 10Byrtus took 8 of 10
S4Byrtus4Danko1n = 5Byrtus took 4 of 5
S5Byrtus1Danko2n = 3Danko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricByrtusDankoB − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.031.0+8.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusDankoBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 566 vs 111 / 21952.1%50.7%295 / 566 vs 111 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusByrtus 1.33/Danko 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.4%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Danko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 12:30S. Byrtus341112113P. Danko2451090
WAug 19 · 10:30S. Byrtus341211113P. Danko2110740
WAug 14 · 13:04S. Byrtus49111176143P. Danko46661111122
WAug 14 · 12:30S. Byrtus341112113P. Danko2151060
WJul 16 · 12:30S. Byrtus44111111113P. Danko31135671
WJun 26 · 08:00S. Byrtus331111113P. Danko197570
LJun 23 · 09:30S. Byrtus4411981152P. Danko45511117113
WJun 23 · 07:00S. Byrtus43101111113P. Danko33126871
WMay 28 · 17:28S. Byrtus331111113P. Danko225890
LMay 28 · 15:30S. Byrtus4257111182P. Danko48111169113
S. Byrtus10
LSep 22 · 07:30D. Machander2.20115811113S. Byrtus1.6171111972LSep 22 · 06:00S. Byrtus1.73117531A. Rinka2.0051111113LSep 19 · 09:00D. Langer1.6711611113S. Byrtus2.10811771LSep 19 · 08:30A. Walek2.0011114113S. Byrtus1.73981141WSep 19 · 07:30S. Byrtus2.631112133J. Simecek1.44810110LSep 19 · 06:30D. Langer1.8381111173S. Byrtus1.831179151WSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky1.91413491S. Byrtus1.80111111113LSep 18 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.8341110101J. Levicky1.8311812123WSep 18 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.9111711143D. Heczko1.806118121WSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.5312711892S. Byrtus2.381011211113
P. Danko10
LSep 22 · 07:00A. Rinka2.00116811113P. Danko1.7391111852WSep 22 · 06:30P. Danko1.571111113D. Machander2.256890WSep 16 · 08:59S. Kysely1.57111110662P. Danko2.25791211113LSep 16 · 08:30P. Danko1.73101520S. Kysely2.001217113LSep 16 · 07:00P. Danko1.4091060J. Levicky2.751112113LSep 16 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.831111143P. Danko1.8358120WSep 8 · 09:29P. Danko1.3681111113J. Levicky3.00119691WSep 8 · 08:00P. Danko1.4011711113J. Levicky2.75711891WSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113
Upcoming Matches
S. Byrtus
Nothing scheduled
P. Danko
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