TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalimil Machander vs Lukas Velicka 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113116119117––
Lukas Velicka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:03 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeDalimil Machander to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 79 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Dalimil Machander at 54.9%
79 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:03What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Machander
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Machander 1506 vs Velicka 1511
Velicka
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 40% vs Velicka 0%
Machander
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 30% vs Velicka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander +1 · Velicka -5
Velicka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Machander) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velicka form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.80 / Velicka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Machander)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176669
Machander1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 32 of 44
Velicka1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 25 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 374 vs 109 / 21045.7%51.9%171 / 374 vs 109 / 210Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderMachander 1.80/Velicka 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Machander won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Machander10
WSep 23 · 15:00P. Smetka2.10871161D. Machander1.6711114113WSep 22 · 08:58D. Machander2.10811116113S. Byrtus1.6711681192LSep 22 · 08:30A. Rinka1.501211113D. Machander2.5010940WSep 22 · 07:30D. Machander2.20115811113S. Byrtus1.6171111972LSep 22 · 06:30P. Danko1.571111113D. Machander2.256890LSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:30M. Heczko1.61111199113D. Machander2.2079111192LSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123WSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640
L. Velicka10
WSep 23 · 15:30L. Velicka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.806790LSep 20 · 21:12M. Volny1.2512511113L. Velicka3.751011591LSep 20 · 20:30L. Velicka2.3810121111112M. Volny1.53121496133LSep 20 · 19:00L. Velicka1.918560V. Cerny1.801111113LSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110LSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252WSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741LSep 8 · 21:29R. Vavrecka1.9191111113L. Velicka1.80116461
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