TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Sarganek vs Marek Zaskodny 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
David Sarganek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4117111311711––
Marek Zaskodny
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:41 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sarganek to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Sarganek above · Marek Zaskodny below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held David Sarganek at 58.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H David Sarganek 25–20 Marek Zaskodny Marek Zaskodny has won 20 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:41What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zaskodny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-20 in 45
Sarganek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sarganek 1655 vs Zaskodny 1560
Sarganek
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sarganek 40% vs Zaskodny 20%
Sarganek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sarganek 60% vs Zaskodny 30%
Sarganek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sarganek -1 · Zaskodny -3
Zaskodny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sarganek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaskodny form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSarganek 1.83 / Zaskodny 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sarganek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13182274
Sarganek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zaskodny1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSarganek4wins
AwayZaskodny6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZaskodny leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSarganekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZaskodny62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sarganek2Zaskodny8n = 10Zaskodny took 8 of 10
S2Sarganek3Zaskodny7n = 10Zaskodny took 7 of 10
S3Sarganek3Zaskodny7n = 10Zaskodny took 7 of 10
S4Sarganek3Zaskodny2n = 5Sarganek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSarganekZaskodnyS − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.035.9−3.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSarganekZaskodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 495 vs 119 / 29152.1%40.9%258 / 495 vs 119 / 291Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SarganekSarganek 1.83/Zaskodny 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sarganek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zaskodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 16:10D. Sarganek49118118113M. Zaskodny3741161152
LSep 8 · 20:10D. Sarganek193790M. Zaskodny331111113
LAug 24 · 16:39D. Sarganek37119981M. Zaskodny4291111113
LAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek207490M. Zaskodny331111113
WAug 18 · 18:15D. Sarganek4691511113M. Zaskodny361113931
LAug 2 · 08:48D. Sarganek229580M. Zaskodny331111113
LAug 2 · 06:45D. Sarganek226970M. Zaskodny331111113
LAug 1 · 08:54D. Sarganek1710340M. Zaskodny341211113
WAug 1 · 06:15D. Sarganek3941311113M. Zaskodny391111981
WJul 30 · 21:25D. Sarganek49911711113M. Zaskodny3911411582
D. Sarganek10
WSep 23 · 14:40D. Sarganek1.831112113J. Skvrna1.8331080LSep 21 · 20:48D. Sarganek1.739390P. Vicherek2.001111113WSep 21 · 19:40P. Vicherek1.91112111052D. Sarganek1.80711112113LSep 21 · 19:10A. Baros2.20111119113D. Sarganek1.6111361152WSep 21 · 18:10D. Sarganek1.73172712113R. Kowal2.001511111022LSep 19 · 21:15D. Sarganek1.7386100R. Kowal2.001111123WSep 19 · 19:40A. Baros2.2013980D. Sarganek1.611511113WSep 19 · 19:10J. Gembala2.506590D. Sarganek1.501111113WSep 19 · 18:10D. Sarganek1.73111112113R. Kowal2.001351081LSep 15 · 21:13D. Sarganek1.616760R. Kowal2.201111113
M. Zaskodny10
LSep 23 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.207460A. Baros1.611111113LSep 20 · 17:14F. Chaloupka1.501111113M. Zaskodny2.504680LSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113WSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151LSep 14 · 16:50M. Zaskodny2.2064111192F. Sikora1.61111177113LSep 14 · 16:10D. Sarganek2.00118118113M. Zaskodny1.7341161152LSep 14 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.25111155112P. Vicherek1.57891111133WSep 14 · 13:40F. Sikora1.6111119932M. Zaskodny2.20161111113LSep 8 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.2241111113M. Zaskodny4.00113571
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