TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Sarganek vs Petr Vicherek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
David Sarganek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911311911––––
Petr Vicherek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDavid Sarganek above · Petr Vicherek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11
54 points played in total.
H2H David Sarganek 35–26 Petr Vicherek Petr Vicherek has won 26 of their 61 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Sarganek beat Vicherek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sarganek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vicherek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSarganek 1.73 / Vicherek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sarganek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13173178
Sarganek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it84% 43 of 51
Vicherek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 54 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSarganek7wins
AwayVicherek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSarganek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSarganek80%4 of 5
AwayVicherek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sarganek5Vicherek5n = 10split evenly
S2Sarganek8Vicherek2n = 10Sarganek took 8 of 10
S3Sarganek4Vicherek6n = 10Vicherek took 6 of 10
S4Sarganek5Vicherek1n = 6Sarganek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSarganekVicherekS − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.132.3+2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSarganekVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 494 vs 172 / 36652.2%47%258 / 494 vs 172 / 366Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SarganekSarganek 1.73/Vicherek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Sarganek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vicherek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 19:40D. Sarganek42711112113P. Vicherek39112111052
LSep 15 · 18:45D. Sarganek4011116752P. Vicherek44561111113
WSep 14 · 17:20D. Sarganek4011117113P. Vicherek32971151
LSep 14 · 14:10D. Sarganek25101050P. Vicherek351212113
WSep 9 · 18:15D. Sarganek341211113P. Vicherek2710890
WAug 24 · 14:10D. Sarganek3611311113P. Vicherek281111511
LAug 20 · 20:45D. Sarganek238690P. Vicherek331111113
WAug 20 · 18:15D. Sarganek3741111113P. Vicherek32117681
WAug 18 · 19:45D. Sarganek331111113P. Vicherek177910
WAug 17 · 15:10D. Sarganek4111117123P. Vicherek366911101
D. Sarganek10
WSep 21 · 19:40P. Vicherek1.91112111052D. Sarganek1.80711112113LSep 21 · 19:10A. Baros2.20111119113D. Sarganek1.6111361152WSep 21 · 18:10D. Sarganek1.73172712113R. Kowal2.001511111022LSep 19 · 21:15D. Sarganek1.7386100R. Kowal2.001111123WSep 19 · 19:40A. Baros2.2013980D. Sarganek1.611511113WSep 19 · 19:10J. Gembala2.506590D. Sarganek1.501111113WSep 19 · 18:10D. Sarganek1.73111112113R. Kowal2.001351081LSep 15 · 21:13D. Sarganek1.616760R. Kowal2.201111113WSep 15 · 20:15D. Sarganek1.671111113R. Kowal2.107690LSep 15 · 18:45P. Vicherek1.91561111113D. Sarganek1.8011116752
P. Vicherek10
LSep 21 · 19:40P. Vicherek1.91112111052D. Sarganek1.80711112113LSep 21 · 18:40P. Vicherek1.9181191492R. Kowal1.801171112113LSep 21 · 17:40P. Vicherek1.678611161A. Baros2.1011118183WSep 15 · 20:43A. Baros2.10113761P. Vicherek1.6751111113LSep 15 · 19:45P. Vicherek1.73613691A. Baros2.00111111113WSep 15 · 18:45P. Vicherek1.91561111113D. Sarganek1.8011116752LSep 15 · 17:45P. Vicherek1.91116118102R. Kowal1.80511111123LSep 14 · 17:20P. Vicherek1.91971151D. Sarganek1.8011117113LSep 14 · 15:40F. Sikora1.7381112113P. Vicherek2.001171051WSep 14 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.25111155112P. Vicherek1.57891111133
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