TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129177
Played Sep 14Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111171210115––
Petr Vicherek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Petr Vicherek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 75 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Filip Sikora at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 15–14 Petr Vicherek Petr Vicherek has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-14 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1768 vs Vicherek 1691
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 20% vs Vicherek 80%
Vicherek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 40% vs Vicherek 60%
Vicherek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora -4 · Vicherek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sikora) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vicherek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.73 / Vicherek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sikora)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13129177
Sikora1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 79 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it75% 57 of 76
Vicherek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 54 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora5wins
AwayVicherek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora50%4 of 8
AwayVicherekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora8Vicherek2n = 10Sikora took 8 of 10
S2Sikora6Vicherek4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S3Sikora4Vicherek6n = 10Vicherek took 6 of 10
S4Sikora3Vicherek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraVicherekS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.935.6+1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 315 vs 169 / 35956.2%47.1%177 / 315 vs 169 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.73/Vicherek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:40F. Sikora4281112113P. Vicherek331171051
WSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora331111113P. Vicherek187650
LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora4212116582P. Vicherek521091111113
WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora331111113P. Vicherek228590
WAug 25 · 17:23F. Sikora50111414113P. Vicherek388121621
LAug 25 · 15:45F. Sikora3911651162P. Vicherek43611114113
WAug 17 · 14:10F. Sikora381212143P. Vicherek321010120
LAug 12 · 18:10F. Sikora411113981P. Vicherek4361511113
LAug 7 · 20:10F. Sikora195950P. Vicherek331111113
LJul 21 · 15:40F. Sikora32116691P. Vicherek4291111113
F. Sikora10
LSep 14 · 14:40F. Sikora1.731013981D. Sarganek2.00121111113LSep 14 · 13:40F. Sikora1.6111119932M. Zaskodny2.20161111113LSep 8 · 17:10R. Niezgoda2.291111113F. Sikora1.516890LSep 8 · 15:40F. Sikora1.674790R. Niezgoda2.101111113WSep 8 · 14:40F. Sikora1.5371111123J. Rak2.381169101WSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora1.801111113P. Vicherek1.917650WSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113WSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113
P. Vicherek10
WSep 14 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.25111155112P. Vicherek1.57891111133WSep 14 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911212113D. Sarganek1.80101050WSep 9 · 20:40P. Vicherek2.0011911113R. Kowal1.73911591LSep 9 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111113P. Vicherek2.009730WSep 9 · 19:15R. Kowal1.73861171P. Vicherek2.0011118113LSep 9 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.9110890D. Sarganek1.801211113WSep 8 · 16:40P. Vicherek1.801111113J. Rak1.911960WSep 8 · 16:10J. Rak1.80116100P. Vicherek1.911311123LSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora1.801111113P. Vicherek1.917650WSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113
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