TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134405
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Vicherek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511611116117115
David Sarganek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sarganek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Vicherek above · David Sarganek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 84 set 5, 11-5 — our read held David Sarganek at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vicherek 25–34 David Sarganek Petr Vicherek has won 25 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sarganek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-34 in 59
Sarganek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vicherek 1680 vs Sarganek 1598
Vicherek
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vicherek 40% vs Sarganek 80%
Sarganek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vicherek 50% vs Sarganek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vicherek -3 · Sarganek +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sarganek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sarganek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVicherek 1.91 / Sarganek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sarganek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13134405
Vicherek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 54 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Sarganek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 62 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVicherek2wins
AwaySarganek8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSarganek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVicherek50%2 of 4
AwaySarganek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vicherek4Sarganek6n = 10Sarganek took 6 of 10
S2Vicherek3Sarganek7n = 10Sarganek took 7 of 10
S3Vicherek5Sarganek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vicherek0Sarganek5n = 5Sarganek took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVicherekSarganekV − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.435.2−5.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVicherekSarganekBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 361 vs 252 / 48446.8%52.1%169 / 361 vs 252 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SarganekVicherek 1.91/Sarganek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sarganek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vicherek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 17:20P. Vicherek32971151D. Sarganek4011117113
WSep 14 · 14:10P. Vicherek351212113D. Sarganek25101050
LSep 9 · 18:15P. Vicherek2710890D. Sarganek341211113
LAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek281111511D. Sarganek3611311113
WAug 20 · 20:45P. Vicherek331111113D. Sarganek238690
LAug 20 · 18:15P. Vicherek32117681D. Sarganek3741111113
LAug 18 · 19:45P. Vicherek177910D. Sarganek331111113
LAug 17 · 15:10P. Vicherek366911101D. Sarganek4111117123
LJul 30 · 19:40P. Vicherek3541111722D. Sarganek50119811113
LJul 28 · 18:15P. Vicherek199550D. Sarganek331111113
P. Vicherek10
LSep 15 · 17:45P. Vicherek1.91116118102R. Kowal1.80511111123LSep 14 · 17:20P. Vicherek1.91971151D. Sarganek1.8011117113LSep 14 · 15:40F. Sikora1.7381112113P. Vicherek2.001171051WSep 14 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.25111155112P. Vicherek1.57891111133WSep 14 · 14:10P. Vicherek2.101212113D. Sarganek1.67101050WSep 9 · 20:40P. Vicherek2.0011911113R. Kowal1.73911591LSep 9 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111113P. Vicherek2.009730WSep 9 · 19:15R. Kowal1.73861171P. Vicherek2.0011118113LSep 9 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.9110890D. Sarganek1.801211113WSep 8 · 16:40P. Vicherek1.801111113J. Rak1.911960
D. Sarganek10
WSep 15 · 18:15A. Baros2.251198101D. Sarganek1.5781111123WSep 14 · 17:20P. Vicherek1.91971151D. Sarganek1.8011117113WSep 14 · 16:10D. Sarganek2.00118118113M. Zaskodny1.7341161152WSep 14 · 14:40F. Sikora1.731013981D. Sarganek2.00121111113LSep 14 · 14:10P. Vicherek2.101212113D. Sarganek1.67101050LSep 9 · 21:10D. Sarganek2.357790R. Niezgoda1.481111113LSep 9 · 20:15D. Sarganek1.615850R. Kowal2.201111113WSep 9 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.611110851D. Sarganek2.2091211113WSep 9 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.9110890D. Sarganek1.801211113LSep 8 · 20:40A. Baros2.3811311123D. Sarganek1.537118101
Upcoming Matches
P. Vicherek
Nothing scheduled
D. Sarganek
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