TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Marek Zaskodny vs Antonin Baros 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Marek Zaskodny
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411611––––
Antonin Baros
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeAntonin Baros to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Zaskodny above · Antonin Baros below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Antonin Baros at 59.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Marek Zaskodny 10–23 Antonin Baros Marek Zaskodny has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Baros
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-23 in 33
Baros
Correct
gap of 13 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaskodny 1575 vs Baros 1650
Baros
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaskodny 40% vs Baros 80%
Baros
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaskodny 30% vs Baros 50%
Baros
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaskodny +1 · Baros +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Baros)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baros form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaskodny 2.20 / Baros 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Baros)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13182685
Zaskodny2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 43 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Baros1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 23 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaskodny4wins
AwayBaros6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBaros leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaskodny50%2 of 4
AwayBaros66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaskodny4Baros6n = 10Baros took 6 of 10
S2Zaskodny6Baros4n = 10Zaskodny took 6 of 10
S3Zaskodny4Baros6n = 10Baros took 6 of 10
S4Zaskodny3Baros6n = 9Baros took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaskodnyBarosZ − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.536.4+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaskodnyBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 292 vs 187 / 40241.1%46.5%120 / 292 vs 187 / 402Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarosZaskodny 2.20/Baros 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Baros · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Baros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 17:40M. Zaskodny3711114113A. Baros28861131
LAug 18 · 20:15M. Zaskodny33581371A. Baros44111111113
LAug 14 · 18:10M. Zaskodny401179131A. Baros4471111153
WAug 13 · 20:10M. Zaskodny4181111113A. Baros20114231
WJul 18 · 20:45M. Zaskodny50111189113A. Baros4039111162
WJul 18 · 20:15M. Zaskodny3961111113A. Baros27114931
LJul 17 · 16:10M. Zaskodny388111091A. Baros4011612113
LJun 23 · 20:40M. Zaskodny4311115792A. Baros46851111113
LJun 23 · 20:10M. Zaskodny32861171A. Baros4211119113
LJun 19 · 20:45M. Zaskodny123630A. Baros331111113
M. Zaskodny10
WSep 23 · 13:40D. Sarganek1.83471371M. Zaskodny1.83111111113LSep 20 · 17:14F. Chaloupka1.501111113M. Zaskodny2.504680LSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113WSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151LSep 14 · 16:50M. Zaskodny2.2064111192F. Sikora1.61111177113LSep 14 · 16:10D. Sarganek2.00118118113M. Zaskodny1.7341161152LSep 14 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.25111155112P. Vicherek1.57891111133WSep 14 · 13:40F. Sikora1.6111119932M. Zaskodny2.20161111113LSep 8 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.2241111113M. Zaskodny4.00113571
A. Baros10
LSep 23 · 15:40D. Sarganek1.6171111113A. Baros2.20118631WSep 23 · 14:10A. Baros1.73511136113J. Skvrna2.00116111182WSep 21 · 21:18A. Baros2.001211113R. Kowal1.7310550LSep 21 · 20:10R. Kowal1.73511128113A. Baros2.00117101192WSep 21 · 19:10A. Baros2.20111119113D. Sarganek1.6111361152WSep 21 · 17:40P. Vicherek1.678611161A. Baros2.1011118183LSep 19 · 20:43A. Baros1.834611121J. Gembala1.8311119143LSep 19 · 19:40A. Baros2.2013980D. Sarganek1.611511113WSep 19 · 18:40A. Baros2.00611811113R. Kowal1.7311611892LSep 19 · 17:40A. Baros1.91991113152J. Gembala1.801111611173
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