TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Sarganek vs Antonin Baros · TT Cup
TT Cup
Starts 18:10Scheduled
David Sarganek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 26–4Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
40 – 25
All 65 meetings · 61.5%
Last 10 · 5–5
Antonin Baros
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 16–4Last 10Lost last 1
Both players are 6–4 over their last ten. The difference is the direction — David Sarganek arrives off a win, Antonin Baros off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sarganek beat Baros 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSarganek 1.61 / Baros 2.20
TT Cup · #13183762
Sarganek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 64 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Baros2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSarganek5wins
AwayBaros5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSarganek66.7%2 of 3
AwayBaros57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sarganek3Baros7n = 10Baros took 7 of 10
S2Sarganek6Baros4n = 10Sarganek took 6 of 10
S3Sarganek4Baros6n = 10Baros took 6 of 10
S4Sarganek4Baros1n = 5Sarganek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSarganekBarosS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.134.6−0.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSarganekBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 498 vs 188 / 40452.2%46.5%260 / 498 vs 188 / 404Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 15:40D. Sarganek4071111113A. Baros28118631
LSep 21 · 19:10D. Sarganek3611361152A. Baros43111119113
WSep 19 · 19:40D. Sarganek371511113A. Baros3013980
WSep 15 · 18:15D. Sarganek4281111123A. Baros381198101
LSep 8 · 20:40D. Sarganek367118101A. Baros3711311123
LSep 8 · 18:40D. Sarganek2610880A. Baros341211113
LAug 20 · 20:15D. Sarganek2567120A. Baros361111143
WAug 18 · 21:14D. Sarganek341211113A. Baros2110560
WAug 18 · 19:15D. Sarganek45811411113A. Baros4511611892
LJul 22 · 20:15D. Sarganek2037100A. Baros341111123
D. Sarganek10
WSep 23 · 15:40D. Sarganek1.6171111113A. Baros2.20118631WSep 23 · 14:40D. Sarganek1.831112113J. Skvrna1.8331080LSep 23 · 13:40D. Sarganek1.83471371M. Zaskodny1.83111111113LSep 21 · 20:48D. Sarganek1.739390P. Vicherek2.001111113WSep 21 · 19:40P. Vicherek1.91112111052D. Sarganek1.80711112113LSep 21 · 19:10A. Baros2.20111119113D. Sarganek1.6111361152WSep 21 · 18:10D. Sarganek1.73172712113R. Kowal2.001511111022LSep 19 · 21:15D. Sarganek1.7386100R. Kowal2.001111123WSep 19 · 19:40A. Baros2.2013980D. Sarganek1.611511113WSep 19 · 19:10J. Gembala2.506590D. Sarganek1.501111113
A. Baros10
LSep 23 · 15:40D. Sarganek1.6171111113A. Baros2.20118631WSep 23 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.207460A. Baros1.611111113WSep 23 · 14:10A. Baros1.73511136113J. Skvrna2.00116111182WSep 21 · 21:18A. Baros2.001211113R. Kowal1.7310550LSep 21 · 20:10R. Kowal1.73511128113A. Baros2.00117101192WSep 21 · 19:10A. Baros2.20111119113D. Sarganek1.6111361152WSep 21 · 17:40P. Vicherek1.678611161A. Baros2.1011118183LSep 19 · 20:43A. Baros1.834611121J. Gembala1.8311119143LSep 19 · 19:40A. Baros2.2013980D. Sarganek1.611511113WSep 19 · 18:40A. Baros2.00611811113R. Kowal1.7311611892
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