TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Petr Chlad vs Ivan Jemelka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Petr Chlad
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711116311119118
Ivan Jemelka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePetr Chlad to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Chlad above · Ivan Jemelka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Petr Chlad at 55.8%
88 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlad 5–3 Ivan Jemelka Ivan Jemelka has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chlad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Chlad
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlad 1413 vs Jemelka 1422
Jemelka
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlad 60% vs Jemelka 40%
Chlad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlad 40% vs Jemelka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlad +1 · Jemelka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlad) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlad 1.73 / Jemelka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chlad)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13180691
Chlad1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 33 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Jemelka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog62% won 28 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeChlad5wins
AwayJemelka3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderChlad leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlad100%3 of 3
AwayJemelka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlad3Jemelka5n = 8Jemelka took 5 of 8
S2Chlad3Jemelka5n = 8Jemelka took 5 of 8
S3Chlad4Jemelka4n = 8split evenly
S4Chlad4Jemelka1n = 5Chlad took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricChladJemelkaC − JBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match38.236.8+1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChladJemelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 280 vs 63 / 13048.6%48.5%136 / 280 vs 63 / 130Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChladChlad 1.73/Jemelka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chlad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chlad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 23 · 07:15P. Chlad43711311113I. Jemelka4511611982
WAug 20 · 06:10P. Chlad331111113I. Jemelka269890
WAug 16 · 06:15P. Chlad4411811143I. Jemelka355117121
LAug 12 · 06:15P. Chlad3191570I. Jemelka391117113
WJul 11 · 15:10P. Chlad48961111113I. Jemelka3911115392
LJul 10 · 17:10P. Chlad4111111091I. Jemelka4413812113
LJul 10 · 15:10P. Chlad214980I. Jemelka331111113
WJun 26 · 05:45P. Chlad45111211113I. Jemelka33614761
P. Chlad10
WSep 23 · 05:45J. Sindler1.6111119572P. Chlad2.20871111113LSep 17 · 09:15J. Sindler1.60511136113P. Chlad2.20119111192WSep 17 · 07:40P. Jokiel2.2581111662P. Chlad1.57118811113WSep 17 · 07:10J. Matus2.25451181P. Chlad1.5711115113LSep 17 · 06:10P. Chlad2.006111061J. Sindler1.7311612113LSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123WSep 15 · 16:10P. Chlad1.6791111113R. Benesz2.10116891LSep 15 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.8091111113P. Chlad1.91117391LSep 15 · 14:10T. Ogrocki2.20111111113P. Chlad1.61813681LSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143
I. Jemelka10
WSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123WSep 23 · 06:15I. Jemelka1.7312812113A. Strelec2.0010111091LSep 21 · 08:55J. Matus2.1011115113I. Jemelka1.65581181LSep 21 · 07:40J. Sindler1.9111611113I. Jemelka1.80911571LSep 21 · 07:10J. Matus2.2511111113I. Jemelka1.57911571WSep 21 · 06:10I. Jemelka1.73612915123A. Strelec2.0011101113102LSep 19 · 17:04I. Jemelka1.6145111192P. Chvojka2.20111197113WSep 19 · 15:40I. Jemelka1.91111198113J. Jnr1.8059111192LSep 19 · 14:40I. Jemelka1.8012111041P. Sturma1.9114412113WSep 19 · 13:40I. Jemelka1.731112123P. Chvojka2.00310100
Upcoming Matches
P. Chlad
I. Jemelka
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