TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Sindler vs Petr Chlad 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118117911511711
Petr Chlad
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Petr Chlad below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 67.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 12–4 Petr Chlad Petr Chlad has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Sindler
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1504 vs Chlad 1374
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 80% vs Chlad 40%
Sindler
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 60% vs Chlad 30%
Sindler
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +2 · Chlad -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.61 / Chlad 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sindler)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13180361
Sindler1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 139 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it70% 91 of 130
Chlad2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 25 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler8wins
AwayChlad2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler85.7%6 of 7
AwayChlad33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler7Chlad3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S2Sindler7Chlad3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S3Sindler4Chlad6n = 10Chlad took 6 of 10
S4Sindler4Chlad6n = 10Chlad took 6 of 10
S5Sindler4Chlad0n = 4Sindler took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerChladS − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.939.3+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerChladBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 806 vs 134 / 27852.2%48.2%421 / 806 vs 134 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.61/Chlad 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chlad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 09:15J. Sindler46511136113P. Chlad51119111192
WSep 17 · 06:10J. Sindler4011612113P. Chlad336111061
LSep 2 · 07:40J. Sindler35117891P. Chlad3741111113
WAug 6 · 06:45J. Sindler3711411113P. Chlad31711491
WAug 5 · 06:45J. Sindler47911115113P. Chlad4811891192
WAug 3 · 06:45J. Sindler51111258153P. Chlad516101111132
WJul 24 · 16:48J. Sindler3511112113P. Chlad26641151
WJul 24 · 14:10J. Sindler4011117113P. Chlad30741181
WJul 14 · 14:40J. Sindler45111166113P. Chlad4387111162
LJul 11 · 14:10J. Sindler336116101P. Chlad4311911123
J. Sindler10
WSep 21 · 09:25A. Strelec2.00811511132J. Sindler1.73113119153WSep 21 · 07:40J. Sindler1.9111611113I. Jemelka1.80911571LSep 21 · 06:40J. Sindler1.7381171172A. Strelec2.00117114113WSep 21 · 05:40J. Sindler1.67512811113J. Matus2.10111011462WSep 20 · 09:15M. Sobota2.10311110J. Sindler1.671113133WSep 20 · 07:45J. Sindler1.7311414133J. Matus2.0061112111WSep 20 · 06:45J. Sindler1.6111116123F. Mandrysz2.209811101LSep 20 · 05:45J. Sindler1.5781151192M. Sobota2.25118118113LSep 19 · 13:10J. Jnr2.087111111113J. Sindler1.5911981392LSep 19 · 11:40J. Sindler1.53117991J. Jnr2.3881111113
P. Chlad10
LSep 17 · 09:15J. Sindler1.60511136113P. Chlad2.20119111192WSep 17 · 07:40P. Jokiel2.2581111662P. Chlad1.57118811113WSep 17 · 07:10J. Matus2.25451181P. Chlad1.5711115113LSep 17 · 06:10P. Chlad2.006111061J. Sindler1.7311612113LSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123WSep 15 · 16:10P. Chlad1.6791111113R. Benesz2.10116891LSep 15 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.8091111113P. Chlad1.91117391LSep 15 · 14:10T. Ogrocki2.20111111113P. Chlad1.61813681LSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762
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