TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Pavel Plakushchyi vs Viacheslav Kovalenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911911––––
Viacheslav Kovalenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timePavel Plakushchyi to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Viacheslav Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Pavel Plakushchyi at 54.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 6–4 Viacheslav Kovalenko Viacheslav Kovalenko has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Plakushchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Plakushchyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1667 vs Kovalenko 1601
Plakushchyi
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 80% vs Kovalenko 60%
Plakushchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 60% vs Kovalenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi -1 · Kovalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plakushchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 1.67 / Kovalenko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plakushchyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13180323
Plakushchyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 57 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Kovalenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 57 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi6wins
AwayKovalenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlakushchyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayKovalenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi6Kovalenko4n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S2Plakushchyi5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Plakushchyi6Kovalenko4n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S4Plakushchyi4Kovalenko5n = 9Kovalenko took 5 of 9
S5Plakushchyi2Kovalenko1n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiKovalenkoP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.340.1+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 713 vs 180 / 40944.7%44%319 / 713 vs 180 / 409Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlakushchyiPlakushchyi 1.67/Kovalenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plakushchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi4211911113V. Kovalenko34811961
WSep 10 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi49144116143V. Kovalenko541211811122
LSep 2 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi4211514482V. Kovalenko549111211113
LAug 26 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi29811371V. Kovalenko4111811113
WAug 20 · 17:55P. Plakushchyi45413611113V. Kovalenko49111111792
LAug 19 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi467111991V. Kovalenko5211921113
WJul 30 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi4211911113V. Kovalenko31711851
LApr 23 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi34115991V. Kovalenko3961111113
WFeb 26 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi4181111113V. Kovalenko29118641
WFeb 10 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi331111113V. Kovalenko185580
P. Plakushchyi10
WSep 23 · 14:05S. Ponomarenko1.1111411952P. Plakushchyi6.00711711113LSep 23 · 03:25A. Chepurnyi1.611111113P. Plakushchyi2.208790WSep 23 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi5.50111110113S. Ponomarenko1.13331261WSep 23 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311911113V. Kovalenko2.00811961WSep 22 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.531411113O. Kovalchuk2.3812870WSep 22 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi1.441411113E. Rubtsov2.6312590LSep 21 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi7.007780O. Dukhovenko1.081111113LSep 21 · 01:55O. Mishchenko1.9111116113P. Plakushchyi1.80891171WSep 21 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.911111143M. Smyrnov1.8074120LSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062
V. Kovalenko10
WSep 23 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.8061181182V. Kovalenko1.91117119113LSep 23 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311911113V. Kovalenko2.00811961LSep 22 · 23:25S. Ponomarenko1.1011121111113V. Kovalenko6.5061413592WSep 22 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi1.36811981V. Kovalenko3.0011511113WSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko1.838980V. Kovalenko1.831111113WSep 10 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.571111123E. Rubtsov2.2593100LSep 10 · 01:25V. Kovalenko2.001211811122P. Plakushchyi1.73144116143LSep 9 · 23:55V. Kovalenko1.83711461O. Kovalchuk1.8311611113WSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761WSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113
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