TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
7.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711811––––
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:35 and never touched — 90.0% is still 90.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
90.0%
90.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 90.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 27–75 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Pavel Plakushchyi has won 27 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:35What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-75 in 102
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 48 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1632 vs Dukhovenko 1856
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 224 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 40% vs Dukhovenko 80%
Dukhovenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 40% vs Dukhovenko 70%
Dukhovenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi -1 · Dukhovenko +4
Dukhovenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dukhovenko form (80%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 7.00 / Dukhovenko 1.08
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+3.4pp
Setka Cup · #13162010
Plakushchyi7.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 86 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back16% 25 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 87
Dukhovenko1.08
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 217 of 294
Up 2–0, closes it97% 137 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it90% 171 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi0wins
AwayDukhovenko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayDukhovenko100%10 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi0Dukhovenko10n = 10Dukhovenko took 10 of 10
S2Plakushchyi1Dukhovenko9n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S3Plakushchyi1Dukhovenko9n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away990%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiDukhovenkoP − DBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match20.234.8−14.6per matchSweeps09−93–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 707 vs 539 / 85244.6%63.3%315 / 707 vs 539 / 852Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoPlakushchyi 7.00/Dukhovenko 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 13:25P. Plakushchyi194780O. Dukhovenko331111113
LSep 14 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi217950O. Dukhovenko331111113
LSep 13 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi2394100O. Dukhovenko341111123
LSep 11 · 14:55P. Plakushchyi218850O. Dukhovenko331111113
LSep 9 · 01:55P. Plakushchyi162860O. Dukhovenko331111113
LSep 4 · 19:25P. Plakushchyi4081111732O. Dukhovenko49119711113
LJul 25 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi123270O. Dukhovenko331111113
LJul 20 · 24:25P. Plakushchyi142480O. Dukhovenko331111113
LJul 13 · 24:25P. Plakushchyi162770O. Dukhovenko331111113
LJul 12 · 02:55P. Plakushchyi2051050O. Dukhovenko341112113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 21 · 01:55O. Mishchenko1.9111116113P. Plakushchyi1.80891171WSep 21 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.911111143M. Smyrnov1.8074120LSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062WSep 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi2.20131110113A. Chepurnyi1.611171271LSep 18 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.40911914113P. Plakushchyi2.75117111282WSep 18 · 18:55O. Mishchenko1.9111681142P. Plakushchyi1.80711119113LSep 18 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254380LSep 18 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.3611119113P. Plakushchyi3.00531161LSep 18 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.504780WSep 17 · 02:31E. Rubtsov1.911110581P. Plakushchyi1.8071211113
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 21 · 02:55M. Smyrnov3.7513112101O. Dukhovenko1.25111311123WSep 21 · 01:25O. Gavryshko2.6314111772O. Dukhovenko1.441211911113WSep 20 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.6367110O. Dukhovenko1.441111133WSep 20 · 21:25O. Mishchenko2.50681171O. Dukhovenko1.5011116113LSep 20 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111341642Y. Kryvorotko1.808111114113LSep 20 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50891181O. Mishchenko2.5011119113WSep 20 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.501113113M. Smyrnov2.5081170LSep 19 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.44111115962O. Gavryshko2.63581711113WSep 19 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411811113A. Chepurnyi2.63711391WSep 18 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.504780
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