TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412111119711711
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:45 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 64.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 60–88 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Oleg Gavryshko has won 60 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:45What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-88 in 148
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 28 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1842 vs Dukhovenko 1852
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 80% vs Dukhovenko 60%
Gavryshko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 80% vs Dukhovenko 50%
Gavryshko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko +2 · Dukhovenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 2.63 / Dukhovenko 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161822
Gavryshko2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 66 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 58
Dukhovenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite74% won 217 of 294
Up 2–0, closes it97% 137 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it90% 171 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko4wins
AwayDukhovenko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko33.3%1 of 3
AwayDukhovenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko3Dukhovenko7n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Gavryshko1Dukhovenko9n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S3Gavryshko7Dukhovenko3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S4Gavryshko3Dukhovenko5n = 8Dukhovenko took 5 of 8
S5Gavryshko4Dukhovenko2n = 6Gavryshko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoDukhovenkoG − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.943.5−2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 621 vs 538 / 85255.1%63.2%342 / 621 vs 538 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoGavryshko 2.63/Dukhovenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 01:25O. Gavryshko4014111772O. Dukhovenko541211911113
WSep 19 · 22:55O. Gavryshko52581711113O. Dukhovenko52111115962
WSep 18 · 17:55O. Gavryshko44561111113O. Dukhovenko4411119582
WSep 12 · 22:55O. Gavryshko517111111113O. Dukhovenko4311761362
WSep 11 · 17:55O. Gavryshko571181710113O. Dukhovenko47211151272
LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko37981191O. Dukhovenko4111118113
LSep 6 · 02:25O. Gavryshko4459111182O. Dukhovenko48111169113
LSep 4 · 17:55O. Gavryshko331141081O. Dukhovenko3731112113
LAug 30 · 01:55O. Gavryshko2612950O. Dukhovenko361411113
LAug 28 · 17:55O. Gavryshko259790O. Dukhovenko331111113
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 21 · 02:25O. Gavryshko1.8312050A. Chepurnyi1.831411113WSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062WSep 20 · 21:54O. Gavryshko1.7311119113M. Smyrnov2.00751131LSep 20 · 04:25M. Smyrnov2.00111195113O. Gavryshko1.7397111182WSep 20 · 02:55O. Gavryshko1.835111011113A. Chepurnyi1.8311812582WSep 20 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00781171O. Gavryshko1.3611118113WSep 19 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.44111115962O. Gavryshko2.63581711113LSep 19 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko1.8011713213O. Gavryshko1.9171111191WSep 18 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.40911914113P. Plakushchyi2.75117111282WSep 18 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411119582O. Gavryshko2.63561111113
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 21 · 02:55M. Smyrnov3.7513112101O. Dukhovenko1.25111311123WSep 20 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.6367110O. Dukhovenko1.441111133WSep 20 · 21:25O. Mishchenko2.50681171O. Dukhovenko1.5011116113LSep 20 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111341642Y. Kryvorotko1.808111114113LSep 20 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50891181O. Mishchenko2.5011119113WSep 20 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.501113113M. Smyrnov2.5081170LSep 19 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.44111115962O. Gavryshko2.63581711113WSep 19 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411811113A. Chepurnyi2.63711391WSep 18 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.531111113A. Chepurnyi2.389770LSep 18 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411119582O. Gavryshko2.63561111113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Dukhovenko
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