TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119611117––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Plakushchyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Pavel Plakushchyi at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 52–66 Pavel Plakushchyi Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 52 of their 118 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plakushchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-66 in 118
Plakushchyi
Wrong
gap of 14 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1559 vs Plakushchyi 1648
Plakushchyi
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 40% vs Plakushchyi 60%
Plakushchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 20% vs Plakushchyi 50%
Plakushchyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -1 · Plakushchyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plakushchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 1.91 / Plakushchyi 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plakushchyi)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13162116
Mishchenko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 87 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back12% 17 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 78
Plakushchyi1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 54 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it86% 38 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko5wins
AwayPlakushchyi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayPlakushchyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko6Plakushchyi4n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S2Mishchenko6Plakushchyi4n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S3Mishchenko5Plakushchyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Mishchenko4Plakushchyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Mishchenko1Plakushchyi2n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoPlakushchyiM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.937.5+0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 1064 vs 315 / 70646.8%44.6%498 / 1064 vs 315 / 706Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlakushchyiMishchenko 1.91/Plakushchyi 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Plakushchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 18:55O. Mishchenko4011681142P. Plakushchyi49711119113
LSep 16 · 22:55O. Mishchenko49811101192P. Plakushchyi45114127113
WSep 15 · 22:55O. Mishchenko3911116113P. Plakushchyi35881181
WSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko351111133P. Plakushchyi2889110
LSep 12 · 23:55O. Mishchenko36811891P. Plakushchyi4011711113
LSep 11 · 18:55O. Mishchenko29581151P. Plakushchyi3911116113
WSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko45117115113P. Plakushchyi3961141172
WSep 8 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4214511123P. Plakushchyi4012117101
LSep 4 · 17:25O. Mishchenko30711481P. Plakushchyi3811511113
WSep 3 · 19:55O. Mishchenko341112113P. Plakushchyi2241080
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 21 · 24:25O. Mishchenko2.631181171A. Chepurnyi1.4471113113WSep 20 · 22:55O. Mishchenko2.101111113M. Smyrnov1.679870LSep 20 · 21:25O. Mishchenko2.50681171O. Dukhovenko1.5011116113LSep 20 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.6381111742A. Chepurnyi1.44115311113WSep 20 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50891181O. Mishchenko2.5011119113LSep 20 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00781171O. Gavryshko1.3611118113LSep 19 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22711713113O. Mishchenko4.00119111172LSep 19 · 22:25O. Mishchenko2.25771151M. Smyrnov1.5711116113LSep 18 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00116331LSep 18 · 18:55O. Mishchenko1.9111681142P. Plakushchyi1.80711119113
P. Plakushchyi10
WSep 21 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.911111143M. Smyrnov1.8074120LSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062WSep 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi2.20131110113A. Chepurnyi1.611171271LSep 18 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.40911914113P. Plakushchyi2.75117111282WSep 18 · 18:55O. Mishchenko1.9111681142P. Plakushchyi1.80711119113LSep 18 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254380LSep 18 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.3611119113P. Plakushchyi3.00531161LSep 18 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.504780WSep 17 · 02:31E. Rubtsov1.911110581P. Plakushchyi1.8071211113WSep 17 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi1.53111174113V. Panasenko2.3886111192
Upcoming Matches
O. Mishchenko
P. Plakushchyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.