TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Chepurnyi vs Pavel Plakushchyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:12 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 60.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 50–41 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 41 of their 91 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-41 in 91
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 9 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1758 vs Plakushchyi 1679
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 60% vs Plakushchyi 80%
Plakushchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 60% vs Plakushchyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi +3 · Plakushchyi +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Chepurnyi) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 1.61 / Plakushchyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Chepurnyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13176338
Chepurnyi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 158 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it93% 79 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it82% 122 of 149
Plakushchyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 88 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back16% 25 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi4wins
AwayPlakushchyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlakushchyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyi75%3 of 4
AwayPlakushchyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi4Plakushchyi6n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S2Chepurnyi3Plakushchyi7n = 10Plakushchyi took 7 of 10
S3Chepurnyi6Plakushchyi4n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S4Chepurnyi3Plakushchyi4n = 7Plakushchyi took 4 of 7
S5Chepurnyi2Plakushchyi1n = 3Chepurnyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiPlakushchyiC − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.637.3+0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime549 / 932 vs 319 / 71258.9%44.8%549 / 932 vs 319 / 712Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiChepurnyi 1.61/Plakushchyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi371171271P. Plakushchyi45131110113
WSep 18 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi331111113P. Plakushchyi154380
LSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2312560P. Plakushchyi361411113
WSep 13 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi331111113P. Plakushchyi177370
WSep 11 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi49119711113P. Plakushchyi4171111662
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Chepurnyi32811761P. Plakushchyi4111811113
LAug 7 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi351141191P. Plakushchyi4013115113
WJul 19 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi5713111111113P. Plakushchyi5015139762
LJul 17 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi50111091192P. Plakushchyi47512118113
LJun 21 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi27571141P. Plakushchyi4111118113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 23 · 01:55A. Chepurnyi1.36611111123O. Kovalchuk3.00111196102WSep 23 · 24:25A. Chepurnyi3.5011119113S. Ponomarenko1.28661191WSep 22 · 22:55A. Chepurnyi1.361110611133E. Rubtsov3.00512116112LSep 22 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi1.36811981V. Kovalenko3.0011511113LSep 21 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.4431111772M. Smyrnov2.63119511113WSep 21 · 02:25O. Gavryshko1.8312050A. Chepurnyi1.831411113WSep 21 · 24:25O. Mishchenko2.631181171A. Chepurnyi1.4471113113LSep 20 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.6367110O. Dukhovenko1.441111133LSep 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi2.20131110113A. Chepurnyi1.611171271WSep 20 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.6381111742A. Chepurnyi1.44115311113
P. Plakushchyi10
WSep 23 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi5.50111110113S. Ponomarenko1.13331261WSep 23 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311911113V. Kovalenko2.00811961WSep 22 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.531411113O. Kovalchuk2.3812870WSep 22 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi1.441411113E. Rubtsov2.6312590LSep 21 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi7.007780O. Dukhovenko1.081111113LSep 21 · 01:55O. Mishchenko1.9111116113P. Plakushchyi1.80891171WSep 21 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.911111143M. Smyrnov1.8074120LSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062WSep 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi2.20131110113A. Chepurnyi1.611171271LSep 18 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.40911914113P. Plakushchyi2.75117111282
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.