TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marian Brunner vs Piotr Gesiarz 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1187111214116811
Piotr Gesiarz
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timePiotr Gesiarz to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
1187111214116811
H2H Marian Brunner 1–2 Piotr Gesiarz Marian Brunner has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Gesiarz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1269 vs Gesiarz 1317
Gesiarz
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 40% vs Gesiarz 20%
Brunner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 30% vs Gesiarz 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner +1 · Gesiarz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Gesiarz) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gesiarz form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 2.05 / Gesiarz 1.65
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Gesiarz)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13179959
Brunner2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 48 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Gesiarz1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 67 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrunner1wins
AwayGesiarz2wins
Gesiarz leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brunner1Gesiarz2n = 3Gesiarz took 2 of 3
S2Brunner1Gesiarz2n = 3Gesiarz took 2 of 3
S3Brunner2Gesiarz1n = 3Brunner took 2 of 3
S4Brunner1Gesiarz2n = 3Gesiarz took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrunnerGesiarzB − GBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.739.7−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerGesiarzBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 584 vs 153 / 32949.1%46.5%287 / 584 vs 153 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GesiarzBrunner 2.05/Gesiarz 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Gesiarz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gesiarz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 15 · 21:30M. Brunner316101141P. Gesiarz4211128113
LJul 31 · 01:45M. Brunner30611491P. Gesiarz4211911113
WJul 30 · 16:15M. Brunner4011611123P. Gesiarz357117101
M. Brunner10
WSep 22 · 20:20M. Brunner2.381111113K. Delikatny1.535750LSep 22 · 18:45M. Brunner2.65710121192K. Kwiatkowski1.321112101113WSep 22 · 17:30M. Brunner1.90111166113M. Baran1.7596111162LSep 18 · 01:45M. Brunner7.004760M. Guzik1.081111113LSep 18 · 24:35M. Brunner2.7596131152Z. Nocun1.401111116113LSep 17 · 23:20M. Brunner3.25114461G. Mucha1.3371111113WSep 17 · 22:10M. Baran1.531249121M. Brunner2.38101111143LSep 17 · 21:20M. Brunner2.38101111482K. Gudzik1.53128911113LSep 17 · 19:40M. Brunner2.2511891162M. Baran1.57811117113LSep 17 · 18:30M. Brunner2.637740Z. Nocun1.441111113
P. Gesiarz10
LSep 22 · 22:20K. Kwiatkowski1.6651111123P. Gesiarz2.101198101LSep 22 · 20:45P. Gesiarz1.831388111M. Karpiuk1.83111111133LSep 22 · 19:10P. Gesiarz1.821561131M. Baran1.7217117113WSep 22 · 18:20K. Delikatny1.832860P. Gesiarz1.721111113LSep 21 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.10951161A. Kubiak1.6511113113LSep 21 · 18:45J. Cyndera1.851211113P. Gesiarz1.8010780LSep 21 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.5581111113P. Gesiarz2.25113891WSep 21 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.5012118113A. Staniczek2.351061181WSep 21 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.361111113D. Maszczynski2.958750LSep 20 · 01:45P. Gesiarz4.33761191T. Kocik1.2011119113
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