TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117118––––
Piotr Gesiarz
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1210117118––––
H2H Jakub Cyndera 15–12 Piotr Gesiarz Piotr Gesiarz has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gesiarz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-12 in 27
Cyndera
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1383 vs Gesiarz 1351
Cyndera
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 80% vs Gesiarz 40%
Cyndera
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 50% vs Gesiarz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera +4 · Gesiarz -1
Cyndera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gesiarz form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.85 / Gesiarz 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cyndera)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13168361
Cyndera1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 25 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Gesiarz1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 65 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyndera5wins
AwayGesiarz5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyndera80%4 of 5
AwayGesiarz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyndera5Gesiarz5n = 10split evenly
S2Cyndera6Gesiarz4n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S3Cyndera6Gesiarz4n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S4Cyndera5Gesiarz3n = 8Cyndera took 5 of 8
S5Cyndera2Gesiarz4n = 6Gesiarz took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCynderaGesiarzC − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.340.6+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaGesiarzBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 589 vs 152 / 32455.4%46.9%326 / 589 vs 152 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.85/Gesiarz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cyndera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 18:45J. Cyndera4169111142P. Gesiarz51111199113
WAug 31 · 20:50J. Cyndera4411118143P. Gesiarz419911121
LAug 13 · 19:10J. Cyndera388101191P. Gesiarz4111127113
WAug 10 · 18:45J. Cyndera331111113P. Gesiarz216870
LJul 27 · 18:45J. Cyndera4056121162P. Gesiarz481111105113
LJul 20 · 18:45J. Cyndera4471181172P. Gesiarz39112114113
WJul 13 · 16:50J. Cyndera361113123P. Gesiarz28711100
LJul 6 · 18:45J. Cyndera4211481182P. Gesiarz42211117113
WJun 29 · 18:25J. Cyndera50111187133P. Gesiarz49971111112
WJun 28 · 02:10J. Cyndera557111112143P. Gesiarz46114514122
J. Cyndera10
WSep 21 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.3711137133D. Maszczynski2.8051111111WSep 21 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.86811511163A. Kubiak1.80113111142WSep 21 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.5411511482J. Cyndera2.25511911113WSep 21 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.411111123A. Staniczek2.6049100WSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791LSep 15 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.55119791M. Machelski2.3081111113LSep 14 · 23:35J. Cyndera2.108650A. Zmijewski1.601111113LSep 14 · 22:25J. Michalik1.9011114113J. Cyndera1.75931161WSep 14 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.365111110123A. Staniczek2.75119712102LSep 14 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.228121151D. Maszczynski3.60111013113
P. Gesiarz10
LSep 21 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.10951161A. Kubiak1.6511113113LSep 21 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.5581111113P. Gesiarz2.25113891WSep 21 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.5012118113A. Staniczek2.351061181WSep 21 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.361111113D. Maszczynski2.958750LSep 20 · 01:45P. Gesiarz4.33761191T. Kocik1.2011119113LSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113WSep 19 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.731311113K. Malcher2.0011640LSep 19 · 22:10J. Oracz1.281111123P. Gesiarz3.5092100LSep 19 · 21:20P. Gesiarz2.108360G. Mucha1.671111113WSep 19 · 19:40P. Gesiarz3.5051111113J. Oracz1.28119991
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