TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Piotr Gesiarz
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210116811118––
Adam Staniczek
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timePiotr Gesiarz to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1210116811118––
H2H Piotr Gesiarz 22–5 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:19What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Gesiarz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-5 in 27
Gesiarz
Correct
gap of 17 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gesiarz 1353 vs Staniczek 1253
Gesiarz
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gesiarz 40% vs Staniczek 0%
Gesiarz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gesiarz 40% vs Staniczek 10%
Gesiarz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gesiarz +1 · Staniczek -5
Staniczek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Gesiarz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (0%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGesiarz 1.50 / Staniczek 2.35
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Gesiarz)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13168370
Gesiarz1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 65 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Staniczek2.35
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog25% won 116 of 458
Down 0–1, comes back11% 33 of 293
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 220
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGesiarz9wins
AwayStaniczek1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGesiarz leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGesiarz100%9 of 9
AwayStaniczekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gesiarz9Staniczek1n = 10Gesiarz took 9 of 10
S2Gesiarz10Staniczek0n = 10Gesiarz took 10 of 10
S3Gesiarz8Staniczek2n = 10Gesiarz took 8 of 10
S4Gesiarz2Staniczek1n = 3Gesiarz took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGesiarzStaniczekG − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.025.4+11.6per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGesiarzStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 322 vs 367 / 100546.9%36.5%151 / 322 vs 367 / 1005Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.133.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GesiarzGesiarz 1.50/Staniczek 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.4%
Gesiarz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gesiarz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 17:10P. Gesiarz331111113A. Staniczek135350
WSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz331111113A. Staniczek237880
WSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz331111113A. Staniczek217770
WAug 31 · 19:10P. Gesiarz351111133A. Staniczek2384110
WAug 24 · 17:10P. Gesiarz381611113A. Staniczek2314450
WAug 17 · 17:10P. Gesiarz4111118113A. Staniczek31791141
WAug 13 · 22:20P. Gesiarz331111113A. Staniczek176650
WAug 10 · 17:10P. Gesiarz331111113A. Staniczek184860
WAug 3 · 18:25P. Gesiarz4111145113A. Staniczek389121161
LJul 27 · 17:10P. Gesiarz50911111092A. Staniczek47118512113
P. Gesiarz10
WSep 21 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.361111113D. Maszczynski2.958750LSep 20 · 01:45P. Gesiarz4.33761191T. Kocik1.2011119113LSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113WSep 19 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.731311113K. Malcher2.0011640LSep 19 · 22:10J. Oracz1.281111123P. Gesiarz3.5092100LSep 19 · 21:20P. Gesiarz2.108360G. Mucha1.671111113WSep 19 · 19:40P. Gesiarz3.5051111113J. Oracz1.28119991WSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz1.40121198113D. Maszczynski2.75106111122LSep 19 · 17:20P. Gesiarz1.83511119112K. Malcher1.83119311133LSep 19 · 16:15T. Kocik1.221111113P. Gesiarz4.006790
A. Staniczek10
LSep 21 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.411111123A. Staniczek2.6049100LSep 18 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.2212116113A. Staniczek3.701081181LSep 18 · 03:55A. Staniczek3.305850J. Zelezik1.211111113LSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100LSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392WSep 17 · 23:55K. Kwiatkowski1.50139118102A. Staniczek2.401111811123LSep 17 · 23:05J. Michalik1.501113113A. Staniczek2.3131190LSep 17 · 21:55A. Staniczek3.3028100J. Zelezik1.261111123LSep 17 · 20:45D. Molenda1.081111113A. Staniczek5.605270LSep 17 · 19:30A. Krezel1.571111113A. Staniczek2.179660
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