TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Piotr Gesiarz
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117115––––
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timePiotr Gesiarz to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
118117115––––
H2H Piotr Gesiarz 33–19 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 19 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Gesiarz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-19 in 52
Gesiarz
Correct
gap of 14 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gesiarz 1346 vs Maszczynski 1139
Gesiarz
Correct
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gesiarz 20% vs Maszczynski 60%
Maszczynski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gesiarz 40% vs Maszczynski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gesiarz -2 · Maszczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Gesiarz) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGesiarz 1.36 / Maszczynski 2.95
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Gesiarz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13164765
Gesiarz1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 65 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Maszczynski2.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 68 of 293
Down 0–1, comes back11% 23 of 201
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGesiarz6wins
AwayMaszczynski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGesiarz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGesiarz83.3%5 of 6
AwayMaszczynski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gesiarz6Maszczynski4n = 10Gesiarz took 6 of 10
S2Gesiarz6Maszczynski4n = 10Gesiarz took 6 of 10
S3Gesiarz2Maszczynski8n = 10Maszczynski took 8 of 10
S4Gesiarz5Maszczynski2n = 7Gesiarz took 5 of 7
S5Gesiarz2Maszczynski1n = 3Gesiarz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGesiarzMaszczynskiG − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.036.4+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGesiarzMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 321 vs 101 / 45646.7%22.2%150 / 321 vs 101 / 456Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.133.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GesiarzGesiarz 1.36/Maszczynski 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Gesiarz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gesiarz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz2812880D. Maszczynski361411113
WSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz51121198113D. Maszczynski40106111122
LSep 14 · 16:00P. Gesiarz34115991D. Maszczynski4181111113
WSep 12 · 22:55P. Gesiarz50119612123D. Maszczynski519111110102
WSep 12 · 16:55P. Gesiarz4291111113D. Maszczynski27115381
LSep 6 · 24:35P. Gesiarz48711711122D. Maszczynski48116116143
WSep 5 · 18:30P. Gesiarz331111113D. Maszczynski187560
WAug 31 · 16:10P. Gesiarz4211119113D. Maszczynski32981141
LAug 24 · 16:00P. Gesiarz2595110D. Maszczynski351111133
WAug 17 · 16:00P. Gesiarz3711123113D. Maszczynski367101181
P. Gesiarz10
WSep 21 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.5012118113A. Staniczek2.351061181LSep 20 · 01:45P. Gesiarz4.33761191T. Kocik1.2011119113LSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113WSep 19 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.731311113K. Malcher2.0011640LSep 19 · 22:10J. Oracz1.281111123P. Gesiarz3.5092100LSep 19 · 21:20P. Gesiarz2.108360G. Mucha1.671111113WSep 19 · 19:40P. Gesiarz3.5051111113J. Oracz1.28119991WSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz1.40121198113D. Maszczynski2.75106111122LSep 19 · 17:20P. Gesiarz1.83511119112K. Malcher1.83119311133LSep 19 · 16:15T. Kocik1.221111113P. Gesiarz4.006790
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 21 · 16:50D. Maszczynski3.40691341A. Kubiak1.28111111113LSep 21 · 09:10W. Stechly2.05117119113D. Maszczynski1.6691191112WSep 21 · 08:10D. Maszczynski1.30121114133T. Kordaszewski3.15101312111WSep 21 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.76861111113A. Barton1.9011118992WSep 21 · 05:50D. Maszczynski3.00811611113J. Michalik1.2511911772LSep 21 · 04:50D. Maszczynski3.709980J. Slawomir1.161111113LSep 21 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.00211791H. Tkaczyk1.0811811113LSep 20 · 02:10D. Maszczynski2.63105110K. Malcher1.441211133WSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113LSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz1.40121198113D. Maszczynski2.75106111122
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