TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6119111311411––
Artur Kubiak
Away
1.28
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeArtur Kubiak to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
6119111311411––
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 1–5 Artur Kubiak Dariusz Maszczynski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kubiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Kubiak
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1131 vs Kubiak 1341
Kubiak
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 60% vs Kubiak 40%
Maszczynski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 40% vs Kubiak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -2 · Kubiak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kubiak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubiak form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 3.40 / Kubiak 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kubiak)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13168373
Maszczynski3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 68 of 293
Down 0–1, comes back11% 23 of 201
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 132
Kubiak1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 155 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it84% 107 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaszczynski1wins
AwayKubiak5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderKubiak leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKubiak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski2Kubiak4n = 6Kubiak took 4 of 6
S2Maszczynski3Kubiak3n = 6split evenly
S3Maszczynski4Kubiak2n = 6Maszczynski took 4 of 6
S4Maszczynski0Kubiak5n = 5Kubiak took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away467%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiKubiakM − KBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.841.8−5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 457 vs 485 / 89122.1%54.4%101 / 457 vs 485 / 891Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubiakMaszczynski 3.40/Kubiak 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77%
Kubiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kubiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 24 · 16:50D. Maszczynski48116137112A. Kubiak548111111133
LAug 10 · 16:50D. Maszczynski30612841A. Kubiak43111011113
WJul 6 · 16:50D. Maszczynski371115113A. Kubiak2871380
LJun 1 · 20:20D. Maszczynski326101151A. Kubiak4211128113
LNov 22 · 18:35D. Maszczynski36811891A. Kubiak4211911113
LNov 8 · 21:00D. Maszczynski389101181A. Kubiak4211128113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 21 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.361111113D. Maszczynski2.958750LSep 21 · 09:10W. Stechly2.05117119113D. Maszczynski1.6691191112WSep 21 · 08:10D. Maszczynski1.30121114133T. Kordaszewski3.15101312111WSep 21 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.76861111113A. Barton1.9011118992WSep 21 · 05:50D. Maszczynski3.00811611113J. Michalik1.2511911772LSep 21 · 04:50D. Maszczynski3.709980J. Slawomir1.161111113LSep 21 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.00211791H. Tkaczyk1.0811811113LSep 20 · 02:10D. Maszczynski2.63105110K. Malcher1.441211133WSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113LSep 19 · 23:45J. Oracz1.131115113D. Maszczynski5.5081380
A. Kubiak10
WSep 21 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.57111161192A. Kubiak2.25138119113LSep 20 · 02:00A. Kubiak3.00561171M. Guzik1.2611119113LSep 20 · 24:45A. Kubiak1.8561060D. Pyrek1.851112113WSep 19 · 23:35A. Kubiak1.66127711113J. Skorupa2.05101111752LSep 19 · 22:25A. Fomin1.57891211113A. Kubiak2.20111110992LSep 19 · 21:35A. Kubiak2.501071161H. Tkaczyk1.4612117113LSep 19 · 20:00A. Kubiak2.3553111132A. Fomin1.54111169113LSep 19 · 18:45A. Kubiak1.956111181D. Pyrek1.7511413113WSep 19 · 17:35A. Kubiak1.661111113J. Skorupa2.057970LSep 19 · 16:25M. Guzik1.331111113A. Kubiak2.956550
Upcoming Matches
D. Maszczynski
A. Kubiak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.