TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158422
Played Sep 19Finished
Artur Kubiak
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119117––––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeArtur Kubiak to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
117119117––––
H2H Artur Kubiak 13–8 Jakub Skorupa Jakub Skorupa has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Kubiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-8 in 21
Kubiak
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubiak 1353 vs Skorupa 1376
Skorupa
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubiak 20% vs Skorupa 40%
Skorupa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubiak 40% vs Skorupa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubiak -2 · Skorupa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kubiak) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubiak 1.66 / Skorupa 2.05
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kubiak)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13158422
Kubiak1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 153 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it95% 74 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it84% 105 of 125
Skorupa2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 97 of 290
Down 0–1, comes back16% 26 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubiak5wins
AwaySkorupa5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubiakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkorupa50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubiak2Skorupa8n = 10Skorupa took 8 of 10
S2Kubiak7Skorupa3n = 10Kubiak took 7 of 10
S3Kubiak3Skorupa7n = 10Skorupa took 7 of 10
S4Kubiak5Skorupa3n = 8Kubiak took 5 of 8
S5Kubiak3Skorupa2n = 5Kubiak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubiakSkorupaK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.742.2−3.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubiakSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 896 vs 319 / 66154.8%48.3%491 / 896 vs 319 / 661Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubiakKubiak 1.66/Skorupa 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Kubiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kubiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 22:30A. Kubiak27101250J. Skorupa371214113
WSep 7 · 15:00A. Kubiak3911116113J. Skorupa34691181
LAug 30 · 22:35A. Kubiak4687111192J. Skorupa50111189113
WAug 30 · 15:00A. Kubiak49711911113J. Skorupa4411611972
LAug 29 · 23:10A. Kubiak145540J. Skorupa331111113
WAug 29 · 17:10A. Kubiak505121110123J. Skorupa481110512102
LAug 25 · 02:20A. Kubiak4211115692J. Skorupa48691111113
LJul 18 · 23:10A. Kubiak28411851J. Skorupa4211911113
WJul 18 · 17:10A. Kubiak46611711113J. Skorupa4611911692
WJun 22 · 23:20A. Kubiak46101114113J. Skorupa401271291
A. Kubiak10
LSep 19 · 16:25M. Guzik1.331111113A. Kubiak2.956550LSep 19 · 15:35A. Kubiak2.50119671H. Tkaczyk1.4671111113WSep 14 · 02:35M. Karpiuk2.501499101A. Kubiak1.50121111123LSep 14 · 01:25A. Kubiak2.101460G. Mucha1.671111113LSep 14 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2561111113A. Kubiak3.75118831WSep 13 · 22:55K. Rybak6.008750A. Kubiak1.111111113WSep 13 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.731112951A. Kubiak2.00131011113LSep 13 · 20:30M. Guzik1.441311113A. Kubiak2.6311880WSep 13 · 19:20A. Kubiak2.0011812113G. Mucha1.739111091LSep 13 · 18:10M. Karpiuk2.3811815113A. Kubiak1.536111351
J. Skorupa10
LSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 15:10M. Guzik1.2141111113J. Skorupa3.35116441WSep 17 · 01:45J. Skorupa2.201112104123M. Lewczuk1.618101211102WSep 17 · 24:35J. Skorupa2.0011145113K. Kwiatkowski1.734121181LSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133LSep 16 · 22:10M. Machelski2.2071111113J. Skorupa1.61115961LSep 16 · 21:20J. Skorupa1.67913481M. Baran2.10111111113WSep 16 · 04:40J. Skorupa1.957141111113M. Baran1.77111261342WSep 16 · 03:05J. Michalik1.861181451J. Skorupa1.7891116113LSep 16 · 02:20K. Rybak4.10615711113J. Skorupa1.17111311682
Upcoming Matches
A. Kubiak
J. Skorupa
Sep 19 · 19:35J. Skorupa2.75H. Tkaczyk1.40—Sep 19 · 20:20J. Skorupa1.80D. Pyrek1.86—Sep 19 · 21:10J. Skorupa2.60A. Fomin1.44—Sep 19 · 22:50J. Skorupa3.35M. Guzik1.21—Sep 19 · 23:35J. Skorupa2.05A. Kubiak1.66—Sep 20 · 01:35J. Skorupa2.70H. Tkaczyk1.32—Sep 20 · 02:20J. Skorupa—D. Pyrek——Sep 20 · 19:20J. Skorupa—G. Mucha——Sep 21 · 01:25J. Skorupa—G. Mucha——
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