TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159438
Played Sep 19Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8119111210119119
Artur Kubiak
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
8119111210119119
H2H Andriej Fomin 63–8 Artur Kubiak Artur Kubiak has won 8 of their 71 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Fomin beat Kubiak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-8 in 71
Fomin
Correct
gap of 55 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1468 vs Kubiak 1355
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Kubiak 20%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Kubiak 30%
Fomin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Kubiak -3
Kubiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.57 / Kubiak 2.20
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Fomin)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13159438
Fomin1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 279 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it89% 216 of 242
Kubiak2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 74 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin10wins
AwayKubiak0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin100%7 of 7
AwayKubiak0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin7Kubiak3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S2Fomin9Kubiak1n = 10Fomin took 9 of 10
S3Fomin8Kubiak2n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S4Fomin3Kubiak3n = 6split evenly
S5Fomin3Kubiak0n = 3Fomin took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominKubiakF − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.432.2+9.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 920 vs 491 / 89658.5%54.8%538 / 920 vs 491 / 896Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.57/Kubiak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 20:00A. Fomin48111169113A. Kubiak3353111132
WAug 30 · 24:00A. Fomin4051111133A. Kubiak371178111
WAug 29 · 16:00A. Fomin48119116113A. Kubiak3881141142
WAug 23 · 24:45A. Fomin45121111113A. Kubiak37147791
WAug 22 · 18:45A. Fomin4111118113A. Kubiak27651151
WAug 8 · 22:00A. Fomin331111113A. Kubiak258980
WAug 8 · 18:00A. Fomin341112113A. Kubiak2481060
WJul 27 · 15:25A. Fomin391216113A. Kubiak29101450
WJul 16 · 24:10A. Fomin331111113A. Kubiak218850
WJul 15 · 20:30A. Fomin53711138143A. Kubiak511161111122
A. Fomin10
LSep 19 · 21:10A. Fomin2.0565110J. Skorupa1.651111133WSep 19 · 20:00A. Kubiak2.3553111132A. Fomin1.54111169113LSep 19 · 19:10M. Guzik1.541111113A. Fomin2.259560LSep 19 · 18:25A. Fomin1.9511137692H. Tkaczyk1.749111111113WSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371WSep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.916119121A. Fomin1.8011711143WSep 17 · 01:25M. Baran2.208711101A. Fomin1.6111119123WSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133WSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113
A. Kubiak10
LSep 19 · 21:35A. Kubiak2.501071161H. Tkaczyk1.4612117113LSep 19 · 20:00A. Kubiak2.3553111132A. Fomin1.54111169113LSep 19 · 18:45A. Kubiak1.956111181D. Pyrek1.7511413113WSep 19 · 17:35A. Kubiak1.661111113J. Skorupa2.057970LSep 19 · 16:25M. Guzik1.331111113A. Kubiak2.956550LSep 19 · 15:35A. Kubiak2.50119671H. Tkaczyk1.4671111113WSep 14 · 02:35M. Karpiuk2.501499101A. Kubiak1.50121111123LSep 14 · 01:25A. Kubiak2.101460G. Mucha1.671111113LSep 14 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2561111113A. Kubiak3.75118831WSep 13 · 22:55K. Rybak6.008750A. Kubiak1.111111113
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