TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158416
Played Sep 19Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191311711611911
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:43 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
1191311711611911
H2H Andriej Fomin 9–38 Henryk Tkaczyk Andriej Fomin has won 9 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-38 in 47
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 29 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1499 vs Tkaczyk 1611
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 80% vs Tkaczyk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Tkaczyk 90%
Tkaczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Tkaczyk +4
Tkaczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.95 / Tkaczyk 1.74
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13158416
Fomin1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 64 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back36% 25 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Tkaczyk1.74
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 398 of 568
Up 2–0, closes it94% 227 of 242
Up 1–0, closes it86% 309 of 361
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin2wins
AwayTkaczyk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin50%2 of 4
AwayTkaczyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Tkaczyk6n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S2Fomin2Tkaczyk8n = 10Tkaczyk took 8 of 10
S3Fomin2Tkaczyk8n = 10Tkaczyk took 8 of 10
S4Fomin2Tkaczyk4n = 6Tkaczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominTkaczykF − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.839.4−6.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime537 / 916 vs 1015 / 151258.6%67.1%537 / 916 vs 1015 / 1512Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykFomin 1.95/Tkaczyk 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.1%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin2781180H. Tkaczyk351113113
LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin32611961H. Tkaczyk4011711113
LSep 2 · 01:30A. Fomin2779110H. Tkaczyk351111133
LSep 1 · 21:05A. Fomin4611135892H. Tkaczyk517111111113
LAug 31 · 18:30A. Fomin401112891H. Tkaczyk4261411113
LAug 7 · 03:05A. Fomin2010730H. Tkaczyk341211113
LAug 6 · 21:05A. Fomin29481161H. Tkaczyk4111118113
LAug 3 · 21:10A. Fomin175840H. Tkaczyk331111113
WJul 2 · 05:05A. Fomin4012611113H. Tkaczyk381011981
WJul 1 · 20:45A. Fomin50127911113H. Tkaczyk45101111852
A. Fomin10
LSep 19 · 19:10M. Guzik1.541111113A. Fomin2.259560WSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371WSep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.916119121A. Fomin1.8011711143WSep 17 · 01:25M. Baran2.208711101A. Fomin1.6111119123WSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133WSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113LSep 16 · 21:00M. Machelski2.25651513113A. Fomin1.571111131182LSep 16 · 20:05K. Kwiatkowski1.83117126143A. Fomin1.836111011122LSep 16 · 19:20M. Baran2.201161011113A. Fomin1.6191112972
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 19 · 17:10D. Pyrek2.90114761H. Tkaczyk1.3561111113WSep 19 · 15:35A. Kubiak2.50119671H. Tkaczyk1.4671111113WSep 18 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.2212116113A. Staniczek3.701081181WSep 18 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.41111011113J. Michalik2.71812971LSep 18 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.51911661A. Krezel2.4111711113WSep 18 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.541111116113K. Kwiatkowski2.2313551192WSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.671111113J. Zelezik1.998970WSep 14 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.31881181H. Tkaczyk1.5011118113WSep 14 · 08:30T. Przebierala7.757220H. Tkaczyk1.041111113WSep 14 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.67512118113M. Wolny2.09111081182
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