TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158411
Played Sep 19Finished
Michal Guzik
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 13Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 13
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115116––––
Andriej Fomin
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
119115116––––
H2H Michal Guzik 3–1 Andriej Fomin Andriej Fomin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Guzik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Guzik
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzik 1602 vs Fomin 1491
Guzik
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzik 100% vs Fomin 60%
Guzik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzik 100% vs Fomin 50%
Guzik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzik +13 · Fomin -1
Guzik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Guzik) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzik 1.54 / Fomin 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Guzik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13158411
Guzik1.54
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 13
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 137 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it89% 101 of 113
Fomin2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 64 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back36% 25 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGuzik3wins
AwayFomin1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderGuzik leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzik100%3 of 3
AwayFominn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzik3Fomin1n = 4Guzik took 3 of 4
S2Guzik3Fomin1n = 4Guzik took 3 of 4
S3Guzik3Fomin1n = 4Guzik took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGuzikFominG − FBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.034.0+6.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzikFominBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 203 vs 537 / 91773.4%58.6%149 / 203 vs 537 / 917Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikGuzik 1.54/Fomin 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.2%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Guzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 4 · 24:00M. Guzik44115111162A. Fomin49131195113
WJul 27 · 16:15M. Guzik331111113A. Fomin249870
WJul 19 · 22:35M. Guzik361114113A. Fomin2571260
WJul 19 · 15:00M. Guzik47111112133A. Fomin388514111
M. Guzik10
WSep 19 · 18:00M. Guzik1.251112113D. Pyrek3.6081050WSep 19 · 16:25M. Guzik1.331111113A. Kubiak2.956550WSep 19 · 15:10M. Guzik1.2141111113J. Skorupa3.35116441WSep 18 · 01:45M. Brunner7.004760M. Guzik1.081111113WSep 18 · 01:00M. Baran3.751010111252M. Guzik1.251212710113WSep 18 · 24:10M. Guzik1.4111911113K. Gudzik2.60911841WSep 17 · 22:35M. Guzik1.2051111113G. Mucha4.33117661WSep 17 · 21:45Z. Nocun4.0071490M. Guzik1.221116113WSep 17 · 20:30M. Guzik1.28411114113K. Gudzik3.5011851182WSep 17 · 18:55M. Guzik1.2511711113M. Baran3.75611771
A. Fomin10
LSep 19 · 18:25A. Fomin1.9511137692H. Tkaczyk1.749111111113WSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371WSep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.916119121A. Fomin1.8011711143WSep 17 · 01:25M. Baran2.208711101A. Fomin1.6111119123WSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133WSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113LSep 16 · 21:00M. Machelski2.25651513113A. Fomin1.571111131182LSep 16 · 20:05K. Kwiatkowski1.83117126143A. Fomin1.836111011122LSep 16 · 19:20M. Baran2.201161011113A. Fomin1.6191112972
Upcoming Matches
M. Guzik
Sep 19 · 20:45M. Guzik1.60H. Tkaczyk2.20—Sep 19 · 22:00M. Guzik1.18D. Pyrek3.60—Sep 19 · 22:50M. Guzik1.21J. Skorupa3.35—Sep 20 · 24:25M. Guzik1.60H. Tkaczyk2.20—Sep 20 · 01:10M. Guzik1.50A. Fomin2.40—Sep 20 · 02:00M. Guzik1.26A. Kubiak3.00—Sep 20 · 20:30M. Guzik—G. Mucha——Sep 21 · 24:10M. Guzik—G. Mucha——
A. Fomin
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