Michal Guzik vs Krystian Gudzik 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145901

Played Sep 17Finished

Michal Guzik

Home

1.29

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

411118115411118

Krystian Gudzik

Away

3.50

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:24 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%

Graded at full time

Michal Guzik to win

75.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMichal Guzik above · Krystian Gudzik below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 4-11

Set 5 · 11-8

Point 84 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Michal Guzik at 75.9%

84 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:24

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.28 (73%)

Guzik

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Guzik 1535 vs Gudzik 1414

Guzik

Correct

both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Guzik 80% vs Gudzik 60%

Guzik

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Guzik 80% vs Gudzik 50%

Guzik

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Guzik +4 · Gudzik +2

Guzik

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Guzik)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Gudzik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGuzik 1.28 / Gudzik 3.50

Signal prob.76% / 24%

Edge (Guzik)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13145901

Guzik1.28

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite73% won 127 of 173

Up 2–0, closes it97% 74 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it89% 93 of 105

Gudzik3.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog36% won 18 of 50

Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricGuzikGudzikBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 194 vs 64 / 12472.2%51.6%140 / 194 vs 64 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Guzik

Guzik 1.28/Gudzik 3.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

75.9%

Guzik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Guzik won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Guzik10