TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154267
Played Sep 19Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
2.45
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161191113117––
Andriej Fomin
Away
1.47
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1161191113117––
H2H Dawid Pyrek 4–5 Andriej Fomin Dawid Pyrek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1293 vs Fomin 1511
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 0% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 10% vs Fomin 70%
Fomin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek -9 · Fomin +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 2.45 / Fomin 1.47
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Fomin)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13154267
Pyrek2.45
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 9
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 57 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Fomin1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 279 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it89% 216 of 242
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePyrek4wins
AwayFomin5wins
1 of 9 to a deciderFomin leads 5–4, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrek80%4 of 5
AwayFomin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek5Fomin4n = 9Pyrek took 5 of 9
S2Pyrek3Fomin6n = 9Fomin took 6 of 9
S3Pyrek4Fomin5n = 9Fomin took 5 of 9
S4Pyrek4Fomin2n = 6Pyrek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricPyrekFominP − FBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match35.236.0−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekFominBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 772 vs 535 / 91249.4%58.7%381 / 772 vs 535 / 912Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominPyrek 2.45/Fomin 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pyrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 25 · 03:30D. Pyrek41111011182A. Fomin52912119113
LJun 24 · 21:30D. Pyrek4011411141A. Fomin4513115163
LJun 5 · 02:10D. Pyrek239860A. Fomin331111113
WJun 4 · 23:05D. Pyrek351111133A. Fomin2274110
WOct 20 · 07:35D. Pyrek3811511113A. Fomin29811281
LOct 11 · 22:00D. Pyrek29911541A. Fomin3811511113
WOct 11 · 18:00D. Pyrek45111112113A. Fomin33581461
WSep 29 · 04:50D. Pyrek3711411113A. Fomin32311991
LSep 15 · 08:45D. Pyrek2985160A. Fomin401111183
D. Pyrek10
LSep 19 · 17:10D. Pyrek2.90114761H. Tkaczyk1.3561111113LSep 19 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.6041020O. Jedrzejowski1.411112113LSep 19 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.009560C. Pawlik1.331111113LSep 19 · 24:00D. Pyrek1.87118731M. Natkaniec1.8551111113LSep 18 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.7511211562M. Krutak1.95911811113LSep 18 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.5051121162J. Oracz1.26117119113LSep 18 · 20:00M. Krutak1.5011911113D. Pyrek2.40911861LSep 18 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3681112113D. Pyrek2.951191061LSep 18 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.608710O. Jedrzejowski1.411111113LSep 18 · 16:50D. Pyrek3.5011107101J. Oracz1.2671211123
A. Fomin10
WSep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.916119121A. Fomin1.8011711143WSep 17 · 01:25M. Baran2.208711101A. Fomin1.6111119123WSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133WSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113LSep 16 · 21:00M. Machelski2.25651513113A. Fomin1.571111131182LSep 16 · 20:05K. Kwiatkowski1.83117126143A. Fomin1.836111011122LSep 16 · 19:20M. Baran2.201161011113A. Fomin1.6191112972WSep 16 · 17:20A. Skupinski3.5011811652A. Fomin1.28811911113WSep 16 · 16:35M. Machelski2.25851171A. Fomin1.5711113113WSep 16 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.20109120A. Fomin1.611211143
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