TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158419
Played Sep 19Finished
Michal Guzik
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 12Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 12
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210115––––
Dawid Pyrek
Away
3.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:46 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210115––––
H2H Michal Guzik 4–0 Dawid Pyrek Dawid Pyrek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Guzik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Guzik
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzik 1597 vs Pyrek 1308
Guzik
Correct
both rated, 289 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzik 100% vs Pyrek 20%
Guzik
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzik 100% vs Pyrek 10%
Guzik
Correct
90pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzik +12 · Pyrek -1
Guzik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Guzik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzik 1.25 / Pyrek 3.60
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Guzik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13158419
Guzik1.25
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 12
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 137 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it89% 101 of 113
Pyrek3.60
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 57 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGuzik4wins
AwayPyrek0wins
Guzik leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzik100%4 of 4
AwayPyrekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzik4Pyrek0n = 4Guzik took 4 of 4
S2Guzik3Pyrek1n = 4Guzik took 3 of 4
S3Guzik4Pyrek0n = 4Guzik took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGuzikPyrekG − PBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match35.822.2+13.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzikPyrekBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 202 vs 382 / 77473.3%49.4%148 / 202 vs 382 / 774Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikGuzik 1.25/Pyrek 3.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Guzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 22 · 21:45M. Guzik4212712113D. Pyrek3610111051
WAug 22 · 17:45M. Guzik331111113D. Pyrek216780
WAug 8 · 02:20M. Guzik351113113D. Pyrek2171130
WAug 7 · 20:20M. Guzik331111113D. Pyrek114610
M. Guzik10
WSep 19 · 16:25M. Guzik1.331111113A. Kubiak2.956550WSep 19 · 15:10M. Guzik1.2141111113J. Skorupa3.35116441WSep 18 · 01:45M. Brunner7.004760M. Guzik1.081111113WSep 18 · 01:00M. Baran3.751010111252M. Guzik1.251212710113WSep 18 · 24:10M. Guzik1.4111911113K. Gudzik2.60911841WSep 17 · 22:35M. Guzik1.2051111113G. Mucha4.33117661WSep 17 · 21:45Z. Nocun4.0071490M. Guzik1.221116113WSep 17 · 20:30M. Guzik1.28411114113K. Gudzik3.5011851182WSep 17 · 18:55M. Guzik1.2511711113M. Baran3.75611771WSep 17 · 17:45M. Guzik1.221111113Z. Nocun4.005720
D. Pyrek10
WSep 19 · 18:45A. Kubiak1.956111181D. Pyrek1.7511413113LSep 19 · 17:10D. Pyrek2.90114761H. Tkaczyk1.3561111113WSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371LSep 19 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.6041020O. Jedrzejowski1.411112113LSep 19 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.009560C. Pawlik1.331111113LSep 19 · 24:00D. Pyrek1.87118731M. Natkaniec1.8551111113LSep 18 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.7511211562M. Krutak1.95911811113LSep 18 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.5051121162J. Oracz1.26117119113LSep 18 · 20:00M. Krutak1.5011911113D. Pyrek2.40911861LSep 18 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3681112113D. Pyrek2.951191061
Upcoming Matches
M. Guzik
Sep 19 · 19:10M. Guzik1.54A. Fomin2.25—Sep 19 · 20:45M. Guzik1.60H. Tkaczyk2.20—Sep 19 · 22:00M. Guzik1.18D. Pyrek3.60—Sep 19 · 22:50M. Guzik1.21J. Skorupa3.35—Sep 20 · 24:25M. Guzik1.60H. Tkaczyk2.20—Sep 20 · 01:10M. Guzik1.42A. Fomin2.34—Sep 20 · 02:00M. Guzik1.26A. Kubiak3.00—Sep 20 · 20:30M. Guzik—G. Mucha——Sep 21 · 24:10M. Guzik—G. Mucha——
D. Pyrek
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