TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158406
Played Sep 19Finished
Artur Kubiak
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511311116119311
Andriej Fomin
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
511311116119311
H2H Artur Kubiak 8–62 Andriej Fomin Artur Kubiak has won 8 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (60%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-62 in 70
Fomin
Correct
gap of 54 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubiak 1368 vs Fomin 1481
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubiak 40% vs Fomin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubiak 40% vs Fomin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubiak -1 · Fomin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubiak 2.35 / Fomin 1.54
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Fomin)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13158406
Kubiak2.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 74 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Fomin1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 279 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it89% 216 of 242
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubiak0wins
AwayFomin10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubiak0%0 of 3
AwayFomin100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubiak3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S2Kubiak2Fomin8n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S3Kubiak1Fomin9n = 10Fomin took 9 of 10
S4Kubiak3Fomin3n = 6split evenly
S5Kubiak0Fomin3n = 3Fomin took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubiakFominK − FBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.541.3−7.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubiakFominBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 896 vs 537 / 91854.8%58.5%491 / 896 vs 537 / 918Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominKubiak 2.35/Fomin 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 24:00A. Kubiak371178111A. Fomin4051111133
LAug 29 · 16:00A. Kubiak3881141142A. Fomin48119116113
LAug 23 · 24:45A. Kubiak37147791A. Fomin45121111113
LAug 22 · 18:45A. Kubiak27651151A. Fomin4111118113
LAug 8 · 22:00A. Kubiak258980A. Fomin331111113
LAug 8 · 18:00A. Kubiak2481060A. Fomin341112113
LJul 27 · 15:25A. Kubiak29101450A. Fomin391216113
LJul 16 · 24:10A. Kubiak218850A. Fomin331111113
LJul 15 · 20:30A. Kubiak511161111122A. Fomin53711138143
LJul 11 · 23:10A. Kubiak4691181172A. Fomin47118116113
A. Kubiak10
LSep 19 · 18:45A. Kubiak1.956111181D. Pyrek1.7511413113WSep 19 · 17:35A. Kubiak1.661111113J. Skorupa2.057970LSep 19 · 16:25M. Guzik1.331111113A. Kubiak2.956550LSep 19 · 15:35A. Kubiak2.50119671H. Tkaczyk1.4671111113WSep 14 · 02:35M. Karpiuk2.501499101A. Kubiak1.50121111123LSep 14 · 01:25A. Kubiak2.101460G. Mucha1.671111113LSep 14 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2561111113A. Kubiak3.75118831WSep 13 · 22:55K. Rybak6.008750A. Kubiak1.111111113WSep 13 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.731112951A. Kubiak2.00131011113LSep 13 · 20:30M. Guzik1.441311113A. Kubiak2.6311880
A. Fomin10
LSep 19 · 19:10M. Guzik1.541111113A. Fomin2.259560LSep 19 · 18:25A. Fomin1.9511137692H. Tkaczyk1.749111111113WSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371WSep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.916119121A. Fomin1.8011711143WSep 17 · 01:25M. Baran2.208711101A. Fomin1.6111119123WSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133WSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113LSep 16 · 21:00M. Machelski2.25651513113A. Fomin1.571111131182LSep 16 · 20:05K. Kwiatkowski1.83117126143A. Fomin1.836111011122
Upcoming Matches
A. Kubiak
A. Fomin
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.