TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159446
Played Sep 19Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6115111113––––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
6115111113––––
H2H Andriej Fomin 32–6 Jakub Skorupa Jakub Skorupa has won 6 of their 38 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Fomin beat Skorupa 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Skorupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-6 in 38
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 26 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1488 vs Skorupa 1347
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Skorupa 20%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Skorupa 30%
Fomin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Skorupa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.05 / Skorupa 1.65
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skorupa)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13159446
Fomin2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 64 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back36% 25 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Skorupa1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 150 of 225
Up 2–0, closes it92% 71 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 99 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin7wins
AwaySkorupa3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin100%3 of 3
AwaySkorupa42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin3Skorupa7n = 10Skorupa took 7 of 10
S2Fomin6Skorupa4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Fomin6Skorupa4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Fomin7Skorupa2n = 9Fomin took 7 of 9
S5Fomin2Skorupa1n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominSkorupaF − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.939.4+3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 919 vs 320 / 66558.5%48.1%538 / 919 vs 320 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaFomin 2.05/Skorupa 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin49813611113J. Skorupa43111111552
WSep 16 · 23:20A. Fomin4491111133J. Skorupa351149111
WAug 31 · 17:20A. Fomin4413119113J. Skorupa361191151
WAug 30 · 02:45A. Fomin4391112113J. Skorupa341141091
LAug 29 · 18:25A. Fomin407131191J. Skorupa4311156113
WAug 27 · 03:55A. Fomin44111011123J. Skorupa409129101
LAug 26 · 21:55A. Fomin2898110J. Skorupa351111133
LAug 17 · 06:00A. Fomin491011511122J. Skorupa48126115143
WAug 5 · 23:20A. Fomin3911512113J. Skorupa346111071
WAug 5 · 17:20A. Fomin49511139113J. Skorupa46119111142
A. Fomin10
WSep 19 · 20:00A. Kubiak2.3553111132A. Fomin1.54111169113LSep 19 · 19:10M. Guzik1.541111113A. Fomin2.259560LSep 19 · 18:25A. Fomin1.9511137692H. Tkaczyk1.749111111113WSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371WSep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.916119121A. Fomin1.8011711143WSep 17 · 01:25M. Baran2.208711101A. Fomin1.6111119123WSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133WSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113LSep 16 · 21:00M. Machelski2.25651513113A. Fomin1.571111131182
J. Skorupa10
WSep 19 · 20:20D. Pyrek1.86861131J. Skorupa1.8011119113LSep 19 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk1.4211112113J. Skorupa2.558111091LSep 19 · 17:35A. Kubiak1.661111113J. Skorupa2.057970LSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 15:10M. Guzik1.2141111113J. Skorupa3.35116441WSep 17 · 01:45J. Skorupa2.201112104123M. Lewczuk1.618101211102WSep 17 · 24:35J. Skorupa2.0011145113K. Kwiatkowski1.734121181LSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133LSep 16 · 22:10M. Machelski2.2071111113J. Skorupa1.61115961LSep 16 · 21:20J. Skorupa1.67913481M. Baran2.10111111113
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