TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159450
Played Sep 19Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611119311––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
811611119311––
H2H Dawid Pyrek 8–7 Jakub Skorupa Jakub Skorupa has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skorupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1307 vs Skorupa 1347
Skorupa
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 40% vs Skorupa 20%
Pyrek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 20% vs Skorupa 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek +1 · Skorupa -4
Skorupa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 1.86 / Skorupa 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skorupa)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13159450
Pyrek1.86
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 57 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Skorupa1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 150 of 225
Up 2–0, closes it92% 71 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 99 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePyrek5wins
AwaySkorupa5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrek100%3 of 3
AwaySkorupa71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek3Skorupa7n = 10Skorupa took 7 of 10
S2Pyrek5Skorupa5n = 10split evenly
S3Pyrek2Skorupa8n = 10Skorupa took 8 of 10
S4Pyrek4Skorupa3n = 7Pyrek took 4 of 7
S5Pyrek3Skorupa0n = 3Pyrek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPyrekSkorupaP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.239.1−3.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 777 vs 321 / 66649.3%48.2%383 / 777 vs 321 / 666Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaPyrek 1.86/Skorupa 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 20:20D. Pyrek28861131J. Skorupa4211119113
LAug 22 · 22:55D. Pyrek247890J. Skorupa331111113
WAug 22 · 16:55D. Pyrek531111713113J. Skorupa48137111162
LJul 15 · 01:30D. Pyrek32912381J. Skorupa43111011113
WJul 14 · 19:30D. Pyrek45711511113J. Skorupa4111811652
WJul 1 · 24:45D. Pyrek49119126113J. Skorupa48911101172
LJun 30 · 22:20D. Pyrek178540J. Skorupa331111113
LJun 19 · 02:45D. Pyrek204880J. Skorupa331111113
WJun 18 · 23:05D. Pyrek4113116113J. Skorupa391181191
WJun 5 · 24:10D. Pyrek43111110113J. Skorupa31781241
D. Pyrek10
LSep 19 · 22:00D. Pyrek3.605560M. Guzik1.181111113WSep 19 · 18:45A. Kubiak1.956111181D. Pyrek1.7511413113LSep 19 · 18:00M. Guzik1.251112113D. Pyrek3.6081050LSep 19 · 17:10D. Pyrek2.90114761H. Tkaczyk1.3561111113WSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371LSep 19 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.6041020O. Jedrzejowski1.411112113LSep 19 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.009560C. Pawlik1.331111113LSep 19 · 24:00D. Pyrek1.87118731M. Natkaniec1.8551111113LSep 18 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.7511211562M. Krutak1.95911811113LSep 18 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.5051121162J. Oracz1.26117119113
J. Skorupa10
WSep 19 · 21:10A. Fomin2.0565110J. Skorupa1.651111133LSep 19 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk1.4211112113J. Skorupa2.558111091LSep 19 · 17:35A. Kubiak1.661111113J. Skorupa2.057970LSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 15:10M. Guzik1.2141111113J. Skorupa3.35116441WSep 17 · 01:45J. Skorupa2.201112104123M. Lewczuk1.618101211102WSep 17 · 24:35J. Skorupa2.0011145113K. Kwiatkowski1.734121181LSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133LSep 16 · 22:10M. Machelski2.2071111113J. Skorupa1.61115961LSep 16 · 21:20J. Skorupa1.67913481M. Baran2.10111111113
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