TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159440
Played Sep 19Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
3.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511611––––
Michal Guzik
Away
1.18
At publish
Won last 15Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 15
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 81.7% is still 81.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
81.7%
81.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
511511611––––
H2H Dawid Pyrek 0–5 Michal Guzik Dawid Pyrek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Guzik beat Pyrek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (75%)
Guzik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Guzik
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1307 vs Guzik 1629
Guzik
Correct
both rated, 322 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 40% vs Guzik 100%
Guzik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 20% vs Guzik 100%
Guzik
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek -1 · Guzik +15
Guzik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Guzik) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (85%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 3.60 / Guzik 1.18
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Guzik)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13159440
Pyrek3.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 57 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Guzik1.18
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 15
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 137 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it89% 101 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePyrek0wins
AwayGuzik5wins
Guzik leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayGuzik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek0Guzik5n = 5Guzik took 5 of 5
S2Pyrek1Guzik4n = 5Guzik took 4 of 5
S3Pyrek0Guzik5n = 5Guzik took 5 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away480%
These 5 meetings
MetricPyrekGuzikP − GBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match22.435.4−13.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekGuzikBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 777 vs 151 / 20549.3%73.7%383 / 777 vs 151 / 205Avg sets wonper match1.92.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikPyrek 3.60/Guzik 1.18
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.7%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Guzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 19 · 18:00D. Pyrek2381050M. Guzik341112113
LAug 22 · 21:45D. Pyrek3610111051M. Guzik4212712113
LAug 22 · 17:45D. Pyrek216780M. Guzik331111113
LAug 8 · 02:20D. Pyrek2171130M. Guzik351113113
LAug 7 · 20:20D. Pyrek114610M. Guzik331111113
D. Pyrek10
LSep 19 · 20:20D. Pyrek1.86861131J. Skorupa1.8011119113WSep 19 · 18:45A. Kubiak1.956111181D. Pyrek1.7511413113LSep 19 · 18:00M. Guzik1.251112113D. Pyrek3.6081050LSep 19 · 17:10D. Pyrek2.90114761H. Tkaczyk1.3561111113WSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371LSep 19 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.6041020O. Jedrzejowski1.411112113LSep 19 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.009560C. Pawlik1.331111113LSep 19 · 24:00D. Pyrek1.87118731M. Natkaniec1.8551111113LSep 18 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.7511211562M. Krutak1.95911811113LSep 18 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.5051121162J. Oracz1.26117119113
M. Guzik10
WSep 19 · 20:45M. Guzik1.681111113H. Tkaczyk2.056990WSep 19 · 19:10M. Guzik1.541111113A. Fomin2.259560WSep 19 · 18:00M. Guzik1.251112113D. Pyrek3.6081050WSep 19 · 16:25M. Guzik1.331111113A. Kubiak2.956550WSep 19 · 15:10M. Guzik1.2141111113J. Skorupa3.35116441WSep 18 · 01:45M. Brunner7.004760M. Guzik1.081111113WSep 18 · 01:00M. Baran3.751010111252M. Guzik1.251212710113WSep 18 · 24:10M. Guzik1.4111911113K. Gudzik2.60911841WSep 17 · 22:35M. Guzik1.2051111113G. Mucha4.33117661WSep 17 · 21:45Z. Nocun4.0071490M. Guzik1.221116113
Upcoming Matches
D. Pyrek
M. Guzik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.