TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119611117117
Jerzy Michalik
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
811119611117117
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 3–10 Jerzy Michalik Dariusz Maszczynski has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (71%)
Michalik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Michalik
Wrong
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1114 vs Michalik 1393
Michalik
Wrong
both rated, 278 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 20% vs Michalik 60%
Michalik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 10% vs Michalik 50%
Michalik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -3 · Michalik +2
Maszczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 3.00 / Michalik 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Michalik)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13165969
Maszczynski3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 68 of 293
Down 0–1, comes back11% 23 of 201
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 132
Michalik1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 135 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaszczynski2wins
AwayMichalik8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMichalik80%8 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski0Michalik10n = 10Michalik took 10 of 10
S2Maszczynski4Michalik6n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S3Maszczynski4Michalik6n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S4Maszczynski5Michalik2n = 7Maszczynski took 5 of 7
S5Maszczynski2Michalik4n = 6Michalik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiMichalikMaszczynski − MichalikBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match36.343.3−7.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiMichalikBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 452 vs 557 / 117921.7%47.2%98 / 452 vs 557 / 1179Avg sets wonper match1.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikMaszczynski 3.00/Michalik 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.9%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maszczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:10D. Maszczynski34571571J. Michalik46111113113
LAug 24 · 04:50D. Maszczynski50111112882J. Michalik521371011113
WAug 10 · 06:25D. Maszczynski48811711113J. Michalik3811611462
LAug 9 · 02:35D. Maszczynski4061151172J. Michalik47116118113
LAug 8 · 18:10D. Maszczynski4366111192J. Michalik48111196113
LJul 27 · 06:25D. Maszczynski45410131352J. Michalik5611121111113
LJul 20 · 05:35D. Maszczynski205690J. Michalik331111113
LJul 13 · 03:35D. Maszczynski166550J. Michalik331111113
WJun 29 · 06:25D. Maszczynski491011611113J. Michalik4612811872
LJun 22 · 04:50D. Maszczynski1851030J. Michalik341112113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 21 · 04:50D. Maszczynski3.709980J. Slawomir1.161111113LSep 21 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.00211791H. Tkaczyk1.0811811113LSep 20 · 02:10D. Maszczynski2.63105110K. Malcher1.441211133WSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113LSep 19 · 23:45J. Oracz1.131115113D. Maszczynski5.5081380LSep 19 · 22:55D. Maszczynski4.33710111172G. Mucha1.20111278113LSep 19 · 21:45D. Maszczynski10.00411941T. Kocik1.0311511113LSep 19 · 20:05D. Maszczynski2.6311950K. Malcher1.441311113LSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz1.40121198113D. Maszczynski2.75106111122LSep 19 · 17:45T. Kocik1.0381111113D. Maszczynski10.00116621
J. Michalik10
WSep 21 · 06:30A. Barton3.8586111192J. Michalik1.15111188113WSep 21 · 04:30T. Kordaszewski3.958830J. Michalik1.201111113WSep 21 · 03:10W. Stechly3.65111148102J. Michalik1.17791111123LSep 18 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.611311113J. Michalik2.2011370LSep 18 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.41111011113J. Michalik2.71812971WSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100WSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik2.44611126143J. Zelezik1.451151011122LSep 18 · 24:20A. Krezel1.801141111113J. Michalik1.8551161342WSep 17 · 23:05J. Michalik1.501113113A. Staniczek2.3131190LSep 17 · 21:30J. Michalik4.355780D. Molenda1.151111113
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