TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomasz Kordaszewski
Home
3.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811311––––
Jerzy Michalik
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 86.4% is still 86.4%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
86.4%
86.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
811811311––––
H2H Tomasz Kordaszewski 0–2 Jerzy Michalik Tomasz Kordaszewski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (77%)
Michalik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kordaszewski 883 vs Michalik 1391
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 508 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kordaszewski 40% vs Michalik 60%
Michalik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kordaszewski 20% vs Michalik 50%
Michalik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kordaszewski +1 · Michalik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKordaszewski 3.95 / Michalik 1.20
Signal prob.21% / 80%
Edge (Michalik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13165980
Kordaszewski3.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog9% won 5 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back4% 2 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Michalik1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 135 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKordaszewski0wins
AwayMichalik2wins
Michalik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKordaszewskiMichalikK − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.037.5−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKordaszewskiMichalikBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 67 vs 556 / 11787.5%47.2%5 / 67 vs 556 / 1178Avg sets wonper match0.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match27.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikKordaszewski 3.95/Michalik 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.5%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 31 · 09:50T. Kordaszewski32113991J. Michalik4181111113
LAug 24 · 07:35T. Kordaszewski2688100J. Michalik341111123
T. Kordaszewski10
LSep 21 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski6.9054100H. Tkaczyk1.021111123WSep 14 · 09:50T. Kordaszewski1.95791114113T. Przebierala1.75111121282LSep 14 · 08:10D. Maszczynski1.291181111113T. Kordaszewski3.1061113742WSep 14 · 06:50W. Stechly1.39111211642T. Kordaszewski2.60614611113LSep 14 · 06:10J. Slawomir1.071111123T. Kordaszewski6.5073100LSep 14 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski8.004660H. Tkaczyk1.031111113LSep 14 · 04:30T. Kordaszewski5.306101431M. Wolny1.10111212113LSep 3 · 02:35T. Kordaszewski13.00111010101A. Zmijewski1.0181212123LSep 3 · 01:00T. Kordaszewski8.005620M. Lewczuk1.061111113LSep 2 · 23:45T. Kordaszewski9.00115751J. Zelezik1.0491111113
J. Michalik10
WSep 21 · 03:10W. Stechly3.65111148102J. Michalik1.17791111123LSep 18 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.611311113J. Michalik2.2011370LSep 18 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.41111011113J. Michalik2.71812971WSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100WSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik2.44611126143J. Zelezik1.451151011122LSep 18 · 24:20A. Krezel1.801141111113J. Michalik1.8551161342WSep 17 · 23:05J. Michalik1.501113113A. Staniczek2.3131190LSep 17 · 21:30J. Michalik4.355780D. Molenda1.151111113LSep 17 · 20:20J. Michalik1.91813100A. Krezel1.801115123WSep 17 · 18:45J. Michalik2.171161117113K. Kwiatkowski1.5681171952
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