TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211118711911––
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 83.3% is still 83.3%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
83.3%
83.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
211118711911––
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 0–7 Henryk Tkaczyk Dariusz Maszczynski has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (82%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1123 vs Tkaczyk 1623
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 500 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 20% vs Tkaczyk 80%
Tkaczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 10% vs Tkaczyk 80%
Tkaczyk
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -1 · Tkaczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (80%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 5.00 / Tkaczyk 1.08
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13164777
Maszczynski5.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 68 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 200
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 132
Tkaczyk1.08
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 402 of 573
Up 2–0, closes it94% 228 of 243
Up 1–0, closes it85% 310 of 363
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMaszczynski0wins
AwayTkaczyk7wins
2 of 7 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 7–0, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTkaczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski2Tkaczyk5n = 7Tkaczyk took 5 of 7
S2Maszczynski2Tkaczyk5n = 7Tkaczyk took 5 of 7
S3Maszczynski2Tkaczyk5n = 7Tkaczyk took 5 of 7
S4Maszczynski1Tkaczyk4n = 5Tkaczyk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiTkaczykM − TBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match29.441.7−12.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 450 vs 1018 / 151321.8%67.3%98 / 450 vs 1018 / 1513Avg sets wonper match1.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match33.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykMaszczynski 5.00/Tkaczyk 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 14 · 03:30D. Maszczynski144370H. Tkaczyk331111113
LAug 17 · 16:50D. Maszczynski4478111262H. Tkaczyk521111910113
LAug 3 · 17:35D. Maszczynski31511871H. Tkaczyk4211911113
LJun 22 · 19:10D. Maszczynski27651151H. Tkaczyk4111118113
LJan 12 · 16:35D. Maszczynski193880H. Tkaczyk331111113
LDec 8 · 18:10D. Maszczynski27116371H. Tkaczyk4071111113
LNov 8 · 20:10D. Maszczynski4411138572H. Tkaczyk517111111113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 21 · 04:50D. Maszczynski3.709980J. Slawomir1.161111113LSep 20 · 02:10D. Maszczynski2.63105110K. Malcher1.441211133WSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113LSep 19 · 23:45J. Oracz1.131115113D. Maszczynski5.5081380LSep 19 · 22:55D. Maszczynski4.33710111172G. Mucha1.20111278113LSep 19 · 21:45D. Maszczynski10.00411941T. Kocik1.0311511113LSep 19 · 20:05D. Maszczynski2.6311950K. Malcher1.441311113LSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz1.40121198113D. Maszczynski2.75106111122LSep 19 · 17:45T. Kocik1.0381111113D. Maszczynski10.00116621LSep 19 · 16:55D. Maszczynski3.757980G. Mucha1.251111113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 21 · 04:10W. Stechly5.751111891H. Tkaczyk1.0591311113WSep 20 · 02:45A. Fomin1.9011680H. Tkaczyk1.751311113LSep 20 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk1.40126761J. Skorupa2.75101111113WSep 20 · 24:25M. Guzik1.604390H. Tkaczyk2.201111113WSep 19 · 23:10D. Pyrek2.956370H. Tkaczyk1.361111113WSep 19 · 21:35A. Kubiak2.501071161H. Tkaczyk1.4612117113LSep 19 · 20:45M. Guzik1.681111113H. Tkaczyk2.056990WSep 19 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk1.4211112113J. Skorupa2.558111091WSep 19 · 18:25A. Fomin1.9511137692H. Tkaczyk1.749111111113WSep 19 · 17:10D. Pyrek2.90114761H. Tkaczyk1.3561111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Maszczynski
H. Tkaczyk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.