TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
3.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811611118118911
Jerzy Michalik
Away
1.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:20 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
811611118118911
H2H Aleksander Barton 5–22 Jerzy Michalik Aleksander Barton has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.15 (77%)
Michalik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-22 in 27
Michalik
Correct
gap of 17 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1075 vs Michalik 1377
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 302 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 60% vs Michalik 40%
Barton
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 40% vs Michalik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton +2 · Michalik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (40%) is below what odds imply (87%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 3.85 / Michalik 1.15
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Michalik)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13166874
Barton3.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back5% 9 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 132
Michalik1.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 135 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton0wins
AwayMichalik10wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 10–0, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton0%0 of 4
AwayMichalik100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton4Michalik6n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S2Barton3Michalik7n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S3Barton5Michalik5n = 10split evenly
S4Barton3Michalik6n = 9Michalik took 6 of 9
S5Barton0Michalik6n = 6Michalik took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonMichalikB − MBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.844.3−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonMichalikBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 400 vs 558 / 118121.5%47.3%86 / 400 vs 558 / 1181Avg sets wonper match1.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match31.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikBarton 3.85/Michalik 1.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 06:30A. Barton4586111192J. Michalik49111188113
LSep 8 · 19:55A. Barton49111111882J. Michalik49713711113
LAug 28 · 01:55A. Barton33881161J. Michalik4211119113
LJul 10 · 02:45A. Barton391011991J. Michalik3812411113
LJul 9 · 23:05A. Barton511110812102J. Michalik516121110123
LJul 2 · 23:55A. Barton259880J. Michalik331111113
LJul 2 · 02:35A. Barton50611119132J. Michalik50115811153
LJul 1 · 18:10A. Barton368101171J. Michalik3811124113
LJun 22 · 03:10A. Barton4511871182J. Michalik48811117113
LJun 15 · 05:30A. Barton4511118872J. Michalik45931111113
A. Barton10
LSep 21 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.76861111113A. Barton1.9011118992WSep 21 · 05:30W. Stechly1.681031191A. Barton1.8712117113WSep 21 · 03:50J. Slawomir1.1011118992A. Barton4.55881111113LSep 10 · 02:35A. Barton8.509121141A. Fomin1.0511146113LSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113WSep 9 · 23:45A. Barton3.25101111163M. Baran1.331287141LSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113LSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100
J. Michalik10
LSep 21 · 05:50D. Maszczynski3.00811611113J. Michalik1.2511911772WSep 21 · 04:30T. Kordaszewski3.958830J. Michalik1.201111113WSep 21 · 03:10W. Stechly3.65111148102J. Michalik1.17791111123LSep 18 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.611311113J. Michalik2.2011370LSep 18 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.41111011113J. Michalik2.71812971WSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100WSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik2.44611126143J. Zelezik1.451151011122LSep 18 · 24:20A. Krezel1.801141111113J. Michalik1.8551161342WSep 17 · 23:05J. Michalik1.501113113A. Staniczek2.3131190LSep 17 · 21:30J. Michalik4.355780D. Molenda1.151111113
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