TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
1.68
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012311117911––
Aleksander Barton
Away
1.87
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Barton to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1012311117911––
H2H Witold Stechly 4–10 Aleksander Barton Witold Stechly has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:18What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (53%)
Stechly
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Barton
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1134 vs Barton 1074
Stechly
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 40% vs Barton 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 30% vs Barton 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -2 · Barton +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stechly) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 1.68 / Barton 1.87
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stechly)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13165972
Stechly1.68
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Barton1.87
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back5% 9 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly4wins
AwayBarton6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBarton leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly100%3 of 3
AwayBarton85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly3Barton7n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S2Stechly3Barton7n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S3Stechly5Barton5n = 10split evenly
S4Stechly3Barton4n = 7Barton took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyBartonS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.437.5−3.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 536 vs 85 / 39717.2%21.4%92 / 536 vs 85 / 397Avg sets wonper match1.21.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.231.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StechlyStechly 1.68/Barton 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Stechly · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly43114611113A. Barton4491111672
WAug 6 · 05:05W. Stechly4291111113A. Barton34118781
LJul 15 · 23:55W. Stechly32481191A. Barton4211119113
LJul 3 · 24:45W. Stechly341051181A. Barton4112117113
WJun 22 · 08:45W. Stechly361114113A. Barton2591240
LJun 15 · 06:50W. Stechly2213450A. Barton371511113
LMay 25 · 07:35W. Stechly2138100A. Barton341111123
WApr 30 · 05:05W. Stechly50118911113A. Barton4061111932
LApr 16 · 05:05W. Stechly30611851A. Barton3911611113
LMar 26 · 24:30W. Stechly34891161A. Barton3911116113
W. Stechly10
LSep 21 · 04:10W. Stechly5.751111891H. Tkaczyk1.0591311113LSep 21 · 03:10W. Stechly3.65111148102J. Michalik1.17791111123WSep 17 · 04:20W. Stechly5.8511118113M. Warzecha1.08991191WSep 17 · 03:05W. Stechly5.051011711113Z. Nocun1.1112111772LSep 17 · 01:55W. Stechly1.845560K. Rybak1.791111113LSep 17 · 24:45A. Krezel1.261111113W. Stechly3.259940LSep 16 · 23:55W. Stechly2.751151041A. Staniczek1.3671112113WSep 14 · 09:10W. Stechly2.10612178113D. Maszczynski1.601110151162LSep 14 · 07:50W. Stechly4.5054100J. Slawomir1.141111123LSep 14 · 06:50W. Stechly1.39111211642T. Kordaszewski2.60614611113
A. Barton10
WSep 21 · 03:50J. Slawomir1.1011118992A. Barton4.55881111113LSep 10 · 02:35A. Barton8.509121141A. Fomin1.0511146113LSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113WSep 9 · 23:45A. Barton3.25101111163M. Baran1.331287141LSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113LSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 01:55M. Machelski1.281311113A. Barton3.1511690LSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151
Upcoming Matches
W. Stechly
A. Barton
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.