TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Piotr Gesiarz
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511113611––
Artur Kubiak
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Gesiarz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
911511113611––
H2H Piotr Gesiarz 0–4 Artur Kubiak Piotr Gesiarz has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Kubiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Kubiak
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gesiarz 1338 vs Kubiak 1345
Kubiak
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gesiarz 40% vs Kubiak 60%
Kubiak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gesiarz 40% vs Kubiak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gesiarz -2 · Kubiak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kubiak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGesiarz 2.10 / Kubiak 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kubiak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13168723
Gesiarz2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 51 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Kubiak1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 155 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it84% 107 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGesiarz0wins
AwayKubiak4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKubiak leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGesiarzn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKubiak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gesiarz1Kubiak3n = 4Kubiak took 3 of 4
S2Gesiarz2Kubiak2n = 4split evenly
S3Gesiarz1Kubiak3n = 4Kubiak took 3 of 4
S4Gesiarz0Kubiak3n = 3Kubiak took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricGesiarzKubiakG − KBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match30.841.0−10.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGesiarzKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 325 vs 487 / 89446.8%54.5%152 / 325 vs 487 / 894Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubiakGesiarz 2.10/Kubiak 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Kubiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kubiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 24 · 20:20P. Gesiarz32117951A. Kubiak4291111113
LAug 10 · 20:20P. Gesiarz311211531A. Kubiak4314711113
LJul 6 · 20:20P. Gesiarz176560A. Kubiak331111113
LJun 1 · 16:50P. Gesiarz43121111452A. Kubiak46146411113
P. Gesiarz10
LSep 21 · 18:45J. Cyndera1.851211113P. Gesiarz1.8010780LSep 21 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.5581111113P. Gesiarz2.25113891WSep 21 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.5012118113A. Staniczek2.351061181WSep 21 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.361111113D. Maszczynski2.958750LSep 20 · 01:45P. Gesiarz4.33761191T. Kocik1.2011119113LSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113WSep 19 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.731311113K. Malcher2.0011640LSep 19 · 22:10J. Oracz1.281111123P. Gesiarz3.5092100LSep 19 · 21:20P. Gesiarz2.108360G. Mucha1.671111113WSep 19 · 19:40P. Gesiarz3.5051111113J. Oracz1.28119991
A. Kubiak10
WSep 21 · 21:10M. Machelski2.3581111892A. Kubiak1.50115611113WSep 21 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.8051311842A. Kubiak1.391111411113LSep 21 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.86811511163A. Kubiak1.80113111142WSep 21 · 16:50D. Maszczynski3.40691341A. Kubiak1.28111111113WSep 21 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.57111161192A. Kubiak2.25138119113LSep 20 · 02:00A. Kubiak3.00561171M. Guzik1.2611119113LSep 20 · 24:45A. Kubiak1.8561060D. Pyrek1.851112113WSep 19 · 23:35A. Kubiak1.66127711113J. Skorupa2.05101111752LSep 19 · 22:25A. Fomin1.57891211113A. Kubiak2.20111110992LSep 19 · 21:35A. Kubiak2.501071161H. Tkaczyk1.4612117113
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