TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811113118119––
Piotr Gesiarz
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
811113118119––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 20–7 Piotr Gesiarz Piotr Gesiarz has won 7 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:18What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-7 in 27
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 13 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1411 vs Gesiarz 1362
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 20% vs Gesiarz 60%
Gesiarz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 30% vs Gesiarz 50%
Gesiarz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha -3 · Gesiarz +2
Warzecha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gesiarz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.55 / Gesiarz 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13168365
Warzecha1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 349 of 482
Up 2–0, closes it97% 199 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it89% 260 of 293
Gesiarz2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 51 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarzecha7wins
AwayGesiarz3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha85.7%6 of 7
AwayGesiarz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha7Gesiarz3n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S2Warzecha7Gesiarz3n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S3Warzecha7Gesiarz3n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S4Warzecha4Gesiarz3n = 7Warzecha took 4 of 7
S5Warzecha1Gesiarz2n = 3Gesiarz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarzechaGesiarzW − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.435.8+5.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaGesiarzBasisWin rate · lifetime841 / 1197 vs 152 / 32370.3%47.1%841 / 1197 vs 152 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.55/Gesiarz 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 18:00M. Warzecha317311101P. Gesiarz3911115123
WAug 24 · 18:45M. Warzecha3912115113P. Gesiarz281061111
WAug 17 · 18:45M. Warzecha421115163P. Gesiarz33613140
WJul 27 · 18:00M. Warzecha371111153P. Gesiarz2887130
WJul 20 · 18:00M. Warzecha551011118153P. Gesiarz50128611132
WJul 13 · 19:10M. Warzecha4111811113P. Gesiarz31311981
LJul 6 · 18:00M. Warzecha4561111892P. Gesiarz45119311113
LJun 29 · 19:10M. Warzecha48118111172P. Gesiarz52811139113
WJun 1 · 19:10M. Warzecha43111110113P. Gesiarz35981261
WMay 25 · 19:10M. Warzecha331111113P. Gesiarz177460
M. Warzecha10
LSep 21 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.5411511482J. Cyndera2.25511911113LSep 21 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.57111161192A. Kubiak2.25138119113LSep 17 · 04:20W. Stechly5.8511118113M. Warzecha1.08991191WSep 17 · 03:30A. Krezel2.554890M. Warzecha1.451111113LSep 17 · 02:45M. Warzecha2.9010440A. Staniczek1.361211113WSep 17 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.2761111113K. Rybak3.43114481LSep 17 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.8911911113M. Warzecha1.82511971LSep 16 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.21971161A. Staniczek3.6511113113LSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123WSep 16 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.85111166113Z. Nocun1.8087111172
P. Gesiarz10
WSep 21 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.5012118113A. Staniczek2.351061181WSep 21 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.361111113D. Maszczynski2.958750LSep 20 · 01:45P. Gesiarz4.33761191T. Kocik1.2011119113LSep 20 · 24:35P. Gesiarz1.5012880D. Maszczynski2.501411113WSep 19 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.731311113K. Malcher2.0011640LSep 19 · 22:10J. Oracz1.281111123P. Gesiarz3.5092100LSep 19 · 21:20P. Gesiarz2.108360G. Mucha1.671111113WSep 19 · 19:40P. Gesiarz3.5051111113J. Oracz1.28119991WSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz1.40121198113D. Maszczynski2.75106111122LSep 19 · 17:20P. Gesiarz1.83511119112K. Malcher1.83119311133
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